MatchWiz Plays
Earned Runs · Monday, June 8, 2026

WSH @ SF Earned Runs matchups · Monday, June 8, 2026

WSH
WSH
Washington Nationals
43
Final
SF
San Francisco Giants
SF
Oracle ParkElevation 0 ftCenter Field 391 ft 59°F Partly CloudyWind 13 mph, Out To CF

WSH Richard Lovelady · LHP

Pitcher earned runs Rate10.8% Runs / BF

vs LHB10.8%
vs RHB10.8%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)6.7%

How often he gives up earned runs to the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload9.7 BF

Expected batters faced9.7
From recent starts8

How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.

Projection1.1 ER

Expected earned runs — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.

Earned Runs Line · O/U 0.5we lean Over

BookOverUnder
MGMBetMGM+155-220

We project 1.1 ER vs the 0.5 line — leaning Over. Display only — not betting advice.

SF lineup · K rate vs LHPExp PA
1Casey Schmitt (R)11.7%1.7 PA
2Rafael Devers (L)11.7%1.0 PA
3Luis Arraez (L)11.7%1.0 PA
4Willy Adames (R)11.7%1.0 PA
5Jung Hoo Lee (L)11.7%1.0 PA
6Bryce Eldridge (L)11.7%1.0 PA
7Matt Chapman (R)11.7%1.0 PA
8Eric Haase (R)11.7%1.0 PA
9Jonah Cox (R)11.7%1.0 PA

SF Logan Webb · RHP

Pitcher earned runs Rate10.8% Runs / BF

vs LHB10.8%
vs RHB10.8%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)12.5%

How often he gives up earned runs to the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload24.5 BF

Expected batters faced24.5
From recent starts8

How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.

Projection2.8 ER

Expected earned runs — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.

Earned Runs Line · O/U 2.5we lean Over

BookOverUnder
MGMBetMGM+120-165
BOVBovada+120-160
DKDraftKings+129-172
FANFanatics+120-170

We project 2.8 ER vs the 2.5 line — leaning Over. Display only — not betting advice.

WSH lineup · K rate vs RHPExp PA
1James Wood (L)11.7%3.0 PA
2Luis García Jr. (L)11.7%3.0 PA
3Andrés Chaparro (R)11.7%3.0 PA
4CJ Abrams (L)11.7%3.0 PA
5Dylan Crews (R)11.7%3.0 PA
6Jacob Young (R)11.7%3.0 PA
7Keibert Ruiz (L)11.7%2.5 PA
8Jorbit Vivas (L)11.7%2.0 PA
9Nasim Nuñez (L)11.7%2.0 PA