Best MLB earned runs matchups — Monday, June 8, 2026
Every starting pitcher on the Monday, June 8, 2026 slate, scored — ranked by projected earned runs allowed. Run prevention, the lineup he faces, and how deep he goes. Results show how each call played out.
How often he gives up earned runs to the batters he faces, by hand.
Workload9.7 BF
Expected batters faced9.7
From recent starts8
How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.
Projection1.1 ER
Expected earned runs — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.
Opposing Lineup · run-proneness11.7% avg
BatterRateExp PA
1. Casey Schmitt (R)11.7%1.7
2. Rafael Devers (L)11.7%1.0
3. Luis Arraez (L)11.7%1.0
4. Willy Adames (R)11.7%1.0
5. Jung Hoo Lee (L)11.7%1.0
6. Bryce Eldridge (L)11.7%1.0
7. Matt Chapman (R)11.7%1.0
8. Eric Haase (R)11.7%1.0
9. Jonah Cox (R)11.7%1.0
Each hitter's earned runs rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.
Earned Runs Line · O/U 0.5we lean Over
BookOverUnder
MGMBetMGM+155-220
We project 1.1 ER vs the 0.5 line — leaning Over. Display only — not betting advice.
Pitcher earned runs Rate10.8% Runs / BF
vs LHB10.8%
vs RHB10.8%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)7.6%
How often he gives up earned runs to the batters he faces, by hand.
Workload10.8 BF
Expected batters faced10.8
From recent starts8
How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.
Projection1.2 ER
Expected earned runs — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.
Opposing Lineup · run-proneness11.7% avg
BatterRateExp PA
1. Jarren Duran (L)11.7%2.0
2. Ceddanne Rafaela (R)11.7%1.8
3. Wilyer Abreu (L)11.7%1.0
4. Willson Contreras (R)11.7%1.0
5. Mickey Gasper (R)11.7%1.0
6. Caleb Durbin (R)11.7%1.0
7. Isiah Kiner-Falefa (R)11.7%1.0
8. Andruw Monasterio (R)11.7%1.0
9. Carlos Narváez (R)11.7%1.0
Each hitter's earned runs rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.
Earned Runs Line · O/U 0.5we lean Over
BookOverUnder
MGMBetMGM+130-185
BOVBovada+150-200
We project 1.2 ER vs the 0.5 line — leaning Over. Display only — not betting advice.
Pitcher earned runs Rate10.8% Runs / BF
vs LHB10.8%
vs RHB10.8%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)13.0%
How often he gives up earned runs to the batters he faces, by hand.
Workload20.7 BF
Expected batters faced20.7
From recent starts3
How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.
Projection2.3 ER
Expected earned runs — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.
Opposing Lineup · run-proneness11.7% avg
BatterRateExp PA
1. Cole Young (L)11.7%3.0
2. Julio Rodríguez (R)11.7%3.0
3. Josh Naylor (L)11.7%2.7
4. Randy Arozarena (R)11.7%2.0
5. Victor Robles (R)11.7%2.0
6. Dominic Canzone (L)11.7%2.0
7. Patrick Wisdom (R)11.7%2.0
8. Jhonny Pereda (R)11.7%2.0
9. Ryan Bliss (R)11.7%2.0
Each hitter's earned runs rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.
Earned Runs Line · O/U 2.5we lean Under
BookOverUnder
MGMBetMGM-135-105
We project 2.3 ER vs the 2.5 line — leaning Under. Display only — not betting advice.
Pitcher earned runs Rate10.8% Runs / BF
vs LHB10.8%
vs RHB10.8%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)20.6%
How often he gives up earned runs to the batters he faces, by hand.
Workload21.6 BF
Expected batters faced21.6
From recent starts8
How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.
Projection2.4 ER
Expected earned runs — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.
Opposing Lineup · run-proneness11.7% avg
BatterRateExp PA
1. Shea Langeliers (R)11.7%3.0
2. Nick Kurtz (L)11.7%3.0
3. Jeff McNeil (L)11.7%3.0
4. Brent Rooker (R)11.7%2.6
5. Carlos Cortes (L)11.7%2.0
6. Tyler Soderstrom (L)11.7%2.0
7. Henry Bolte (R)11.7%2.0
8. Zack Gelof (R)11.7%2.0
9. Alika Williams (R)11.7%2.0
Each hitter's earned runs rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.
Earned Runs Line · O/U 2.5we lean Under
BookOverUnder
MGMBetMGM-105-135
BOVBovada-120-120
DKDraftKings+100-132
FANFanatics-125-115
We project 2.4 ER vs the 2.5 line — leaning Under. Display only — not betting advice.
Pitcher earned runs Rate10.8% Runs / BF
vs LHB10.8%
vs RHB10.8%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)12.3%
How often he gives up earned runs to the batters he faces, by hand.
Workload21.8 BF
Expected batters faced21.8
From recent starts8
How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.
Projection2.5 ER
Expected earned runs — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.
Opposing Lineup · run-proneness11.7% avg
BatterRateExp PA
1. Blake Dunn (R)11.7%3.0
2. JJ Bleday (L)11.7%3.0
3. Sal Stewart (R)11.7%3.0
4. Spencer Steer (R)11.7%2.8
5. Eugenio Suárez (R)11.7%2.0
6. Noelvi Marte (R)11.7%2.0
7. Matt McLain (R)11.7%2.0
8. Tyler Stephenson (R)11.7%2.0
9. Edwin Arroyo (L)11.7%2.0
Each hitter's earned runs rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.
Earned Runs Line · O/U 2.5we lean Under
BookOverUnder
MGMBetMGM+125-175
BOVBovada+125-165
DKDraftKings+131-175
We project 2.5 ER vs the 2.5 line — leaning Under. Display only — not betting advice.
Pitcher earned runs Rate10.8% Runs / BF
vs LHB10.8%
vs RHB10.8%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)11.6%
How often he gives up earned runs to the batters he faces, by hand.
Workload22.1 BF
Expected batters faced22.1
From recent starts4
How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.
Projection2.5 ER
Expected earned runs — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.
Opposing Lineup · run-proneness11.7% avg
BatterRateExp PA
1. Jeremy Peña (R)11.7%3.0
2. Yordan Alvarez (L)11.7%3.0
3. Shay Whitcomb (R)11.7%3.0
4. Isaac Paredes (R)11.7%3.0
5. Jose Altuve (R)11.7%2.1
6. Brice Matthews (R)11.7%2.0
7. Cam Smith (R)11.7%2.0
8. Jake Meyers (R)11.7%2.0
9. Collin Price (R)11.7%2.0
Each hitter's earned runs rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.
Earned Runs Line · O/U 2.5we lean Under
BookOverUnder
MGMBetMGM-140-105
BOVBovada-145+105
DKDraftKings-151+114
FANFanatics-135-105
We project 2.5 ER vs the 2.5 line — leaning Under. Display only — not betting advice.
Pitcher earned runs Rate10.8% Runs / BF
vs LHB10.8%
vs RHB10.8%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)9.0%
How often he gives up earned runs to the batters he faces, by hand.
Workload22.2 BF
Expected batters faced22.2
From recent starts8
How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.
Projection2.5 ER
Expected earned runs — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.
Opposing Lineup · run-proneness11.7% avg
BatterRateExp PA
1. Kyle Schwarber (L)11.7%3.0
2. Trea Turner (R)11.7%3.0
3. Bryce Harper (L)11.7%3.0
4. Brandon Marsh (L)11.7%3.0
5. Alec Bohm (R)11.7%2.2
6. J.T. Realmuto (R)11.7%2.0
7. Bryson Stott (L)11.7%2.0
8. Adolis García (R)11.7%2.0
9. Justin Crawford (L)11.7%2.0
Each hitter's earned runs rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.
Earned Runs Line · O/U 2.5we lean Over
BookOverUnder
MGMBetMGM-110-130
BOVBovada-115-125
DKDraftKings-112-119
We project 2.5 ER vs the 2.5 line — leaning Over. Display only — not betting advice.
Pitcher earned runs Rate10.8% Runs / BF
vs LHB10.8%
vs RHB10.8%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)12.2%
How often he gives up earned runs to the batters he faces, by hand.
Workload22.5 BF
Expected batters faced22.5
From recent starts8
How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.
Projection2.5 ER
Expected earned runs — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.
Opposing Lineup · run-proneness11.7% avg
BatterRateExp PA
1. Christian Yelich (L)11.7%3.0
2. Jackson Chourio (R)11.7%3.0
3. Brice Turang (L)11.7%3.0
4. William Contreras (R)11.7%3.0
5. Blake Perkins (R)11.7%2.5
6. Andrew Vaughn (R)11.7%2.0
7. Garrett Mitchell (L)11.7%2.0
8. Luis Rengifo (R)11.7%2.0
9. David Hamilton (L)11.7%2.0
Each hitter's earned runs rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.
Earned Runs Line · O/U 3.5we lean Under
BookOverUnder
MGMBetMGM+105-150
DKDraftKings+113-150
We project 2.5 ER vs the 3.5 line — leaning Under. Display only — not betting advice.
Pitcher earned runs Rate10.8% Runs / BF
vs LHB10.8%
vs RHB10.8%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)5.8%
How often he gives up earned runs to the batters he faces, by hand.
Workload23.0 BF
Expected batters faced23.0
From recent starts8
How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.
Projection2.6 ER
Expected earned runs — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.
Opposing Lineup · run-proneness11.7% avg
BatterRateExp PA
1. Fernando Tatis Jr. (R)11.7%3.0
2. Jackson Merrill (L)11.7%3.0
3. Ty France (R)11.7%3.0
4. Manny Machado (R)11.7%3.0
5. Xander Bogaerts (R)11.7%3.0
6. Gavin Sheets (L)11.7%2.0
7. Jase Bowen (R)11.7%2.0
8. Samad Taylor (R)11.7%2.0
9. Freddy Fermin (R)11.7%2.0
Each hitter's earned runs rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.
Earned Runs Line · O/U 2.5we lean Over
BookOverUnder
MGMBetMGM-110-130
BOVBovada-115-125
DKDraftKings-104-128
FANFanatics-110-130
We project 2.6 ER vs the 2.5 line — leaning Over. Display only — not betting advice.
Pitcher earned runs Rate10.8% Runs / BF
vs LHB10.8%
vs RHB10.8%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)14.9%
How often he gives up earned runs to the batters he faces, by hand.
Workload23.2 BF
Expected batters faced23.2
From recent starts8
How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.
Projection2.6 ER
Expected earned runs — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.
Opposing Lineup · run-proneness11.7% avg
BatterRateExp PA
1. Taylor Ward (R)11.7%3.0
2. Gunnar Henderson (L)11.7%3.0
3. Pete Alonso (R)11.7%3.0
4. Colton Cowser (L)11.7%3.0
5. Leody Taveras (L)11.7%3.0
6. Jackson Holliday (L)11.7%2.2
7. Coby Mayo (R)11.7%2.0
8. Blaze Alexander (R)11.7%2.0
9. Samuel Basallo (L)11.7%2.0
Each hitter's earned runs rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.
Earned Runs Line · O/U 2.5we lean Over
BookOverUnder
MGMBetMGM-110-130
BOVBovada-115-125
DKDraftKings-120-110
FANFanatics-110-130
We project 2.6 ER vs the 2.5 line — leaning Over. Display only — not betting advice.
Pitcher earned runs Rate10.8% Runs / BF
vs LHB10.8%
vs RHB10.8%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)13.8%
How often he gives up earned runs to the batters he faces, by hand.
Workload23.5 BF
Expected batters faced23.5
From recent starts8
How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.
Projection2.7 ER
Expected earned runs — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.
Opposing Lineup · run-proneness11.7% avg
BatterRateExp PA
1. Zach Neto (R)11.7%3.0
2. Mike Trout (R)11.7%3.0
3. Jose Siri (R)11.7%3.0
4. Jo Adell (R)11.7%3.0
5. Denzer Guzman (R)11.7%3.0
6. Nick Madrigal (R)11.7%2.5
7. Nolan Schanuel (L)11.7%2.0
8. Oswald Peraza (R)11.7%2.0
9. Logan O'Hoppe (R)11.7%2.0
Each hitter's earned runs rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.
Earned Runs Line · O/U 2.5we lean Over
BookOverUnder
MGMBetMGM+100-140
BOVBovada-115-125
DKDraftKings+103-136
We project 2.7 ER vs the 2.5 line — leaning Over. Display only — not betting advice.
Pitcher earned runs Rate10.8% Runs / BF
vs LHB10.8%
vs RHB10.8%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)20.1%
How often he gives up earned runs to the batters he faces, by hand.
Workload23.6 BF
Expected batters faced23.6
From recent starts8
How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.
Projection2.7 ER
Expected earned runs — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.
Opposing Lineup · run-proneness11.7% avg
BatterRateExp PA
1. Travis Bazzana (L)11.7%3.0
2. José Ramírez (L)11.7%3.0
3. Chase DeLauter (L)11.7%3.0
4. Rhys Hoskins (R)11.7%3.0
5. Stuart Fairchild (R)11.7%3.0
6. Angel Martínez (L)11.7%2.6
7. Steven Kwan (L)11.7%2.0
8. Patrick Bailey (L)11.7%2.0
9. Brayan Rocchio (L)11.7%2.0
Each hitter's earned runs rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.
Earned Runs Line · O/U 2.5we lean Over
BookOverUnder
MGMBetMGM+105-150
BOVBovada+110-150
DKDraftKings+104-139
FANFanatics+105-150
We project 2.7 ER vs the 2.5 line — leaning Over. Display only — not betting advice.
Pitcher earned runs Rate10.8% Runs / BF
vs LHB10.8%
vs RHB10.8%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)13.5%
How often he gives up earned runs to the batters he faces, by hand.
Workload23.8 BF
Expected batters faced23.8
From recent starts8
How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.
Projection2.7 ER
Expected earned runs — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.
Opposing Lineup · run-proneness11.7% avg
BatterRateExp PA
1. Yandy Díaz (R)11.7%3.0
2. Richie Palacios (L)11.7%3.0
3. Chandler Simpson (L)11.7%3.0
4. Victor Mesa Jr. (L)11.7%3.0
5. Jonathan Aranda (L)11.7%3.0
6. Ben Williamson (R)11.7%2.8
7. Taylor Walls (R)11.7%2.0
8. Nick Fortes (R)11.7%2.0
9. Cedric Mullins (L)11.7%2.0
Each hitter's earned runs rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.
Earned Runs Line · O/U 2.5we lean Over
BookOverUnder
MGMBetMGM+115-160
BOVBovada+125-165
DKDraftKings+117-156
FANFanatics+115-165
We project 2.7 ER vs the 2.5 line — leaning Over. Display only — not betting advice.
Pitcher earned runs Rate10.8% Runs / BF
vs LHB10.8%
vs RHB10.8%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)12.5%
How often he gives up earned runs to the batters he faces, by hand.
Workload24.5 BF
Expected batters faced24.5
From recent starts8
How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.
Projection2.8 ER
Expected earned runs — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.
Opposing Lineup · run-proneness11.7% avg
BatterRateExp PA
1. James Wood (L)11.7%3.0
2. Luis García Jr. (L)11.7%3.0
3. Andrés Chaparro (R)11.7%3.0
4. CJ Abrams (L)11.7%3.0
5. Dylan Crews (R)11.7%3.0
6. Jacob Young (R)11.7%3.0
7. Keibert Ruiz (L)11.7%2.5
8. Jorbit Vivas (L)11.7%2.0
9. Nasim Nuñez (L)11.7%2.0
Each hitter's earned runs rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.
Earned Runs Line · O/U 2.5we lean Over
BookOverUnder
MGMBetMGM+120-165
BOVBovada+120-160
DKDraftKings+129-172
FANFanatics+120-170
We project 2.8 ER vs the 2.5 line — leaning Over. Display only — not betting advice.
Pitcher earned runs Rate10.8% Runs / BF
vs LHB10.8%
vs RHB10.8%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)16.5%
How often he gives up earned runs to the batters he faces, by hand.
Workload25.3 BF
Expected batters faced25.3
From recent starts8
How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.
Projection2.9 ER
Expected earned runs — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.
Opposing Lineup · run-proneness11.7% avg
BatterRateExp PA
1. Trent Grisham (L)11.7%3.0
2. Ben Rice (L)11.7%3.0
3. Max Schuemann (R)11.7%3.0
4. Cody Bellinger (L)11.7%3.0
5. Jazz Chisholm Jr. (L)11.7%3.0
6. Spencer Jones (L)11.7%3.0
7. José Caballero (R)11.7%3.0
8. Anthony Volpe (R)11.7%2.3
9. Ali Sánchez (R)11.7%2.0
Each hitter's earned runs rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.
Earned Runs Line · O/U 2.5we lean Over
BookOverUnder
MGMBetMGM+120-165
BOVBovada+130-170
We project 2.9 ER vs the 2.5 line — leaning Over. Display only — not betting advice.
Pitcher earned runs Rate10.8% Runs / BF
vs LHB10.8%
vs RHB10.8%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)19.4%
How often he gives up earned runs to the batters he faces, by hand.
Workload26.8 BF
Expected batters faced26.8
From recent starts8
How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.
Projection3.0 ER
Expected earned runs — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.
Opposing Lineup · run-proneness11.7% avg
BatterRateExp PA
1. George Springer (R)11.7%3.0
2. Nathan Lukes (L)11.7%3.0
3. Vladimir Guerrero Jr. (R)11.7%3.0
4. Kazuma Okamoto (R)11.7%3.0
5. Ernie Clement (R)11.7%3.0
6. Andrés Giménez (L)11.7%3.0
7. Jesús Sánchez (L)11.7%3.0
8. Brandon Valenzuela (R)11.7%3.0
9. Yohendrick Piñango (L)11.7%2.8
Each hitter's earned runs rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.
Earned Runs Line · O/U 1.5we lean Over
BookOverUnder
MGMBetMGM-120-115
BOVBovada-115-125
DKDraftKings-117-113
FANFanatics-125-115
We project 3.0 ER vs the 1.5 line — leaning Over. Display only — not betting advice.
15 with a ERLive count — updates as games play
1
Kyle HarrisonP
MIL@ATH· proj #4
8ERFinal
2
Patrick CorbinP
TORvsPHI· proj #7
5ERFinal
T2
Jeffrey SpringsP
ATHvsMIL· proj #8
5ERFinal
4
Trey GibsonP
BALvsSEA· proj #3
3ERFinal
T4
Andrew AbbottP
CIN@SD· proj #9
3ERFinal
T4
Spencer ArrighettiP
HOU@LAA· proj #11
3ERFinal
T4
Will WarrenP
NYY@CLE· proj #12
3ERFinal
T4
Gavin WilliamsP
CLEvsNYY· proj #15
3ERFinal
9
Grayson RodriguezP
LAAvsHOU· proj #6
2ERFinal
T9
Connelly EarlyP
BOS@TB· proj #13
2ERFinal
T9
Cristopher SánchezP
PHI@TOR· proj #16
2ERFinal
12
Ian SeymourP
TBvsBOS· proj #2
1ERFinal
T12
Walker BuehlerP
SDvsCIN· proj #5
1ERFinal
T12
Emerson HancockP
SEA@BAL· proj #10
1ERFinal
T12
Logan WebbP
SFvsWSH· proj #14
1ERFinal
How the board graded
Share of our top-ranked hitters that hit the mark, next to the season-to-date rate.
Top 5
2/540%
season 52%-12 pts-4% ROI
Top 10
5/1050%
season 52%-2 pts-6% ROI
Top 20
9/1656%
season building
Top 50
9/1656%
season building
Full slate
9/1656%
season 49%+7 pts-9% ROI
“Hit” is the green check on the card — the mark. Pools are our pre-game top-ranked matchups; only settled (final) outcomes count. Season-to-date is every graded day this season.
Best MLB Earned Runs Matchups — Monday, June 8, 2026
Richard Lovelady (WSH) is the top earned runs spot on the Monday, June 8, 2026 board at 100, projected for about 1.1 ER, with Ian Seymour (TB) right behind. Every starter is ranked by projected earned runs allowed — run prevention, the lineup he faces, and how deep he goes. It's the read DFS and pitcher-prop players make before lock.
Top spot: Richard Lovelady
Richard Lovelady (WSH) tops the Monday, June 8, 2026 board at 100, projected for about 1.1 ER vs SF. Run prevention, the lineup he faces, and how deep he goes.
The rest of the top of the board
Ian Seymour (TB) (94) — about 1.2 ER vs BOS.
Trey Gibson (BAL) (36) — about 2.3 ER vs SEA.
Kyle Harrison (MIL) (30) — about 2.4 ER vs ATH.
Walker Buehler (SD) (29) — about 2.5 ER vs CIN.
Grayson Rodriguez (LAA) (27) — about 2.5 ER vs HOU.
How it played out
The top 10 starts averaged 2.9 ER. Richard Lovelady finished with 0. Every projection is graded against the box score.
How to read the earned runs board
Each starter's score (0–100) ranked by projected earned runs allowed — run prevention, the lineup he faces, and how deep he goes. We project a earned runs count for the start and grade it against what actually happened.
Which pitcher has the best earned runs matchup today (Monday, June 8, 2026)?
Richard Lovelady (WSH) — top of the board at 100, projected for about 1.1 ER against SF.
What are the best pitcher earned runs props today?
The top projected starts on Monday, June 8, 2026: Richard Lovelady (~1.1 ER), Ian Seymour (~1.2 ER), Trey Gibson (~2.3 ER), Kyle Harrison (~2.4 ER), Walker Buehler (~2.5 ER). The full board ranks every starter.
How is the earned runs score calculated?
Ranked by projected earned runs allowed — run prevention, the lineup he faces, and how deep he goes. Scores are set 0–100 across the slate, with a projected earned runs count alongside, and graded against the box score.
Can I use this for pitcher props or DFS?
Yes — the board surfaces the best earned runs spots and projects a number. Where there's a posted line we show the over/under and which side our projection leans. We show the data and grade it, not picks.
