‹ Earned Runs · Monday, June 8, 2026
CIN @ SD Earned Runs matchups · Monday, June 8, 2026
CIN
Cincinnati Reds
2–6
Final
SD
San Diego Padres
◆ Petco ParkElevation 23 ftCenter Field 396 ft☀ 68°F Partly CloudyWind 7 mph, L To R
Andrew Abbott · LHP
Pitcher earned runs Rate10.8% Runs / BF
vs LHB10.8%
vs RHB10.8%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)5.8%
How often he gives up earned runs to the batters he faces, by hand.
Workload23.0 BF
Expected batters faced23.0
From recent starts8
How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.
Projection2.6 ER
Expected earned runs — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.
Earned Runs Line · O/U 2.5we lean Over
BookOverUnder
MGMBetMGM-110-130
BOVBovada-115-125
DKDraftKings-104-128
FANFanatics-110-130
We project 2.6 ER vs the 2.5 line — leaning Over. Display only — not betting advice.
SD lineup · K rate vs LHPExp PA
1Fernando Tatis Jr. (R)11.7%3.0 PA
2Jackson Merrill (L)11.7%3.0 PA
3Ty France (R)11.7%3.0 PA
4Manny Machado (R)11.7%3.0 PA
5Xander Bogaerts (R)11.7%3.0 PA
6Gavin Sheets (L)11.7%2.0 PA
7Jase Bowen (R)11.7%2.0 PA
8Samad Taylor (R)11.7%2.0 PA
9Freddy Fermin (R)11.7%2.0 PA
Walker Buehler · RHP
Pitcher earned runs Rate10.8% Runs / BF
vs LHB10.8%
vs RHB10.8%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)12.3%
How often he gives up earned runs to the batters he faces, by hand.
Workload21.8 BF
Expected batters faced21.8
From recent starts8
How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.
Projection2.5 ER
Expected earned runs — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.
Earned Runs Line · O/U 2.5we lean Under
BookOverUnder
MGMBetMGM+125-175
BOVBovada+125-165
DKDraftKings+131-175
We project 2.5 ER vs the 2.5 line — leaning Under. Display only — not betting advice.
CIN lineup · K rate vs RHPExp PA
1Blake Dunn (R)11.7%3.0 PA
2JJ Bleday (L)11.7%3.0 PA
3Sal Stewart (R)11.7%3.0 PA
4Spencer Steer (R)11.7%2.8 PA
5Eugenio Suárez (R)11.7%2.0 PA
6Noelvi Marte (R)11.7%2.0 PA
7Matt McLain (R)11.7%2.0 PA
8Tyler Stephenson (R)11.7%2.0 PA
9Edwin Arroyo (L)11.7%2.0 PA