‹ Earned Runs · Tuesday, June 9, 2026
BOS @ TB Earned Runs matchups · Tuesday, June 9, 2026
BOS
Boston Red Sox
3–4
Final
TB
Tampa Bay Rays
◆ Tropicana FieldElevation 15 ftCenter Field 404 ft☀ 72°F DomeWind 0 mph, None
Payton Tolle · LHP
Pitcher earned runs Rate10.8% Runs / BF
vs LHB10.8%
vs RHB10.8%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)18.4%
How often he gives up earned runs to the batters he faces, by hand.
Workload23.3 BF
Expected batters faced23.3
From recent starts8
How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.
Projection2.6 ER
Expected earned runs — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.
Earned Runs Line · O/U 2.5we lean Over
BookOverUnder
MGMBetMGM+120-175
BOVBovada+130-170
We project 2.6 ER vs the 2.5 line — leaning Over. Display only — not betting advice.
TB lineup · K rate vs LHPExp PA
1Yandy Díaz (R)11.7%3.0 PA
2Junior Caminero (R)11.7%3.0 PA
3Chandler Simpson (L)11.7%3.0 PA
4Ryan Vilade (R)11.7%3.0 PA
5Austin Slater (R)11.7%3.0 PA
6Cedric Mullins (L)11.7%2.3 PA
7Ben Williamson (R)11.7%2.0 PA
8Nick Fortes (R)11.7%2.0 PA
9Taylor Walls (R)11.7%2.0 PA
Nick Martinez · RHP
Pitcher earned runs Rate10.8% Runs / BF
vs LHB10.8%
vs RHB10.8%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)11.6%
How often he gives up earned runs to the batters he faces, by hand.
Workload24.4 BF
Expected batters faced24.4
From recent starts8
How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.
Projection2.7 ER
Expected earned runs — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.
Earned Runs Line · O/U 2.5we lean Over
BookOverUnder
MGMBetMGM+110-155
BOVBovada+115-155
DKDraftKings+115-153
FANFanatics+110-155
We project 2.7 ER vs the 2.5 line — leaning Over. Display only — not betting advice.
BOS lineup · K rate vs RHPExp PA
1Jarren Duran (L)11.7%3.0 PA
2Ceddanne Rafaela (R)11.7%3.0 PA
3Wilyer Abreu (L)11.7%3.0 PA
4Willson Contreras (R)11.7%3.0 PA
5Masataka Yoshida (L)11.7%3.0 PA
6Mickey Gasper (L)11.7%3.0 PA
7Caleb Durbin (R)11.7%2.4 PA
8Isiah Kiner-Falefa (R)11.7%2.0 PA
9Marcelo Mayer (L)11.7%2.0 PA