MatchWiz Plays
Earned Runs · Tuesday, June 9, 2026

WSH @ SF Earned Runs matchups · Tuesday, June 9, 2026

WSH
WSH
Washington Nationals
63
Final
SF
San Francisco Giants
SF
Oracle ParkElevation 0 ftCenter Field 391 ft 64°F ClearWind 14 mph, Out To CF

WSH Andrew Alvarez · LHP

Pitcher earned runs Rate10.8% Runs / BF

vs LHB10.8%
vs RHB10.8%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)14.6%

How often he gives up earned runs to the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload16.8 BF

Expected batters faced16.8
From recent starts6

How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.

Projection1.9 ER

Expected earned runs — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.

Earned Runs Line · O/U 2.5we lean Under

BookOverUnder
MGMBetMGM+115-160
DKDraftKings+114-152

We project 1.9 ER vs the 2.5 line — leaning Under. Display only — not betting advice.

SF lineup · K rate vs LHPExp PA
1Casey Schmitt (R)11.7%2.0 PA
2Rafael Devers (L)11.7%2.0 PA
3Luis Arraez (L)11.7%2.0 PA
4Willy Adames (R)11.7%2.0 PA
5Jung Hoo Lee (L)11.7%2.0 PA
6Bryce Eldridge (L)11.7%2.0 PA
7Matt Chapman (R)11.7%2.0 PA
8Daniel Susac (R)11.7%1.8 PA
9Victor Bericoto (R)11.7%1.0 PA

SF Adrian Houser · RHP

Pitcher earned runs Rate10.8% Runs / BF

vs LHB10.8%
vs RHB10.8%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)9.7%

How often he gives up earned runs to the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload22.4 BF

Expected batters faced22.4
From recent starts8

How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.

Projection2.5 ER

Expected earned runs — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.

Earned Runs Line · O/U 2.5we lean Over

BookOverUnder
MGMBetMGM-105-135
BOVBovada-120-120
DKDraftKings-110-121
FANFanatics-105-135

We project 2.5 ER vs the 2.5 line — leaning Over. Display only — not betting advice.

WSH lineup · K rate vs RHPExp PA
1James Wood (L)11.7%3.0 PA
2Andrés Chaparro (R)11.7%3.0 PA
3Dylan Crews (R)11.7%3.0 PA
4CJ Abrams (L)11.7%3.0 PA
5Daylen Lile (L)11.7%2.4 PA
6Curtis Mead (R)11.7%2.0 PA
7Nasim Nuñez (L)11.7%2.0 PA
8Drew Millas (L)11.7%2.0 PA
9Jacob Young (R)11.7%2.0 PA