MatchWiz Plays
Earned Runs · Tuesday, June 9, 2026

CHC @ COL Earned Runs matchups · Tuesday, June 9, 2026

CHC
CHC
Chicago Cubs
37
Final
COL
Colorado Rockies
COL
Coors FieldElevation 5,190 ftCenter Field 415 ft 84°F Partly CloudyWind 8 mph, In From LF

CHC Colin Rea · RHP

Pitcher earned runs Rate10.8% Runs / BF

vs LHB10.8%
vs RHB10.8%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)13.6%

How often he gives up earned runs to the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload22.7 BF

Expected batters faced22.7
From recent starts8

How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.

Projection2.6 ER

Expected earned runs — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.

Earned Runs Line · O/U 3.5we lean Under

BookOverUnder
BOVBovada+125-165
DKDraftKings+118-157

We project 2.6 ER vs the 3.5 line — leaning Under. Display only — not betting advice.

COL lineup · K rate vs RHPExp PA
1Jake McCarthy (L)11.7%3.0 PA
2Willi Castro (L)11.7%3.0 PA
3TJ Rumfield (L)11.7%3.0 PA
4Hunter Goodman (R)11.7%3.0 PA
5Troy Johnston (L)11.7%2.7 PA
6Ezequiel Tovar (R)11.7%2.0 PA
7Cole Carrigg (L)11.7%2.0 PA
8Kyle Karros (R)11.7%2.0 PA
9Edouard Julien (L)11.7%2.0 PA

COL Tomoyuki Sugano · RHP

Pitcher earned runs Rate10.8% Runs / BF

vs LHB10.8%
vs RHB10.8%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)11.4%

How often he gives up earned runs to the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload22.5 BF

Expected batters faced22.5
From recent starts8

How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.

Projection2.5 ER

Expected earned runs — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.

Earned Runs Line · O/U 3.5we lean Under

BookOverUnder
MGMBetMGM-160+115
BOVBovada-140+100
DKDraftKings-134+101
FANFanatics-165+115

We project 2.5 ER vs the 3.5 line — leaning Under. Display only — not betting advice.

CHC lineup · K rate vs RHPExp PA
1Pete Crow-Armstrong (L)11.7%3.0 PA
2Pedro Ramírez (L)11.7%3.0 PA
3Michael Busch (L)11.7%3.0 PA
4Alex Bregman (R)11.7%3.0 PA
5Ian Happ (L)11.7%2.5 PA
6Seiya Suzuki (R)11.7%2.0 PA
7Nico Hoerner (R)11.7%2.0 PA
8Carson Kelly (R)11.7%2.0 PA
9Dansby Swanson (R)11.7%2.0 PA