MatchWiz Plays
Earned Runs · Tuesday, June 9, 2026

SEA @ BAL Earned Runs matchups · Tuesday, June 9, 2026

SEA
SEA
Seattle Mariners
65
Final
BAL
Baltimore Orioles
BAL
Oriole Park at Camden YardsElevation 33 ftCenter Field 410 ft 78°F Partly CloudyWind 15 mph, Out To LF

SEA Logan Gilbert · RHP

Pitcher earned runs Rate10.8% Runs / BF

vs LHB10.8%
vs RHB10.8%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)17.2%

How often he gives up earned runs to the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload22.9 BF

Expected batters faced22.9
From recent starts8

How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.

Projection2.6 ER

Expected earned runs — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.

Earned Runs Line · O/U 2.5we lean Over

BookOverUnder
MGMBetMGM-110-130
BOVBovada-115-125
DKDraftKings-101-131
FANFanatics-110-130

We project 2.6 ER vs the 2.5 line — leaning Over. Display only — not betting advice.

BAL lineup · K rate vs RHPExp PA
1Taylor Ward (R)11.7%3.0 PA
2Gunnar Henderson (L)11.7%3.0 PA
3Pete Alonso (R)11.7%3.0 PA
4Blaze Alexander (R)11.7%3.0 PA
5Leody Taveras (L)11.7%2.9 PA
6Coby Mayo (R)11.7%2.0 PA
7Jeremiah Jackson (R)11.7%2.0 PA
8Tyler O'Neill (R)11.7%2.0 PA
9Samuel Basallo (L)11.7%2.0 PA

BAL Trevor Rogers · LHP

Pitcher earned runs Rate10.8% Runs / BF

vs LHB10.8%
vs RHB10.8%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)11.1%

How often he gives up earned runs to the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload21.4 BF

Expected batters faced21.4
From recent starts8

How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.

Projection2.4 ER

Expected earned runs — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.

Earned Runs Line · O/U 2.5we lean Under

BookOverUnder
MGMBetMGM-110-125
BOVBovada+100-140
DKDraftKings-102-129

We project 2.4 ER vs the 2.5 line — leaning Under. Display only — not betting advice.

SEA lineup · K rate vs LHPExp PA
1Victor Robles (R)11.7%3.0 PA
2Julio Rodríguez (R)11.7%3.0 PA
3Randy Arozarena (R)11.7%3.0 PA
4Josh Naylor (L)11.7%2.4 PA
5Dominic Canzone (L)11.7%2.0 PA
6Patrick Wisdom (R)11.7%2.0 PA
7Mitch Garver (R)11.7%2.0 PA
8Cole Young (L)11.7%2.0 PA
9Ryan Bliss (R)11.7%2.0 PA