KC @ WSH Earned Runs matchups · Monday, June 15, 2026

Kansas City Royals

3–7

Final

WSH

Washington Nationals

◆ Nationals ParkElevation 35 ftCenter Field 402 ft☀ 76°F Partly CloudyWind 11 mph, In From LF

Mitch Spence · RHP

Pitcher earned runs Rate10.8% Runs / BF

vs LHB10.8%

vs RHB10.8%

K-BB% (command-adj. skill)11.4%

How often he gives up earned runs to the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload22.5 BF

Expected batters faced22.5

From recent starts1

How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.

Projection3.0 ER

Expected earned runs — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.

Earned Runs Line · O/U 1.5we lean Over

BookOverUnder

MGMBetMGM-185+125

We project 3.0 ER vs the 1.5 line — leaning Over. Display only — not betting advice.

WSH lineup · K rate vs RHPExp PA

1James Wood (L)18.5%3.0 PA

2Luis García Jr. (L)13.2%3.0 PA

3Curtis Mead (R)12.3%3.0 PA

4CJ Abrams (L)15.9%3.0 PA

5Dylan Crews (R)11.5%2.5 PA

6Daylen Lile (L)14.4%2.0 PA

7Jacob Young (R)12.4%2.0 PA

8Keibert Ruiz (L)12.9%2.0 PA

9Nasim Nuñez (L)10.0%2.0 PA

Andrew Alvarez · LHP

Pitcher earned runs Rate10.8% Runs / BF

vs LHB10.8%

vs RHB10.8%

K-BB% (command-adj. skill)12.8%

How often he gives up earned runs to the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload17.2 BF

Expected batters faced17.2

From recent starts7

How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.

Projection1.8 ER

Expected earned runs — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.

Earned Runs Line · O/U 2.5we lean Under

BookOverUnder

MGMBetMGM+115-160

DKDraftKings-101-132

FANFanatics+115-165

We project 1.8 ER vs the 2.5 line — leaning Under. Display only — not betting advice.

KC lineup · K rate vs LHPExp PA

1Lane Thomas (R)9.7%2.0 PA

2Bobby Witt Jr. (R)11.0%2.0 PA

3Jac Caglianone (L)11.4%2.0 PA

4Maikel Garcia (R)13.6%2.0 PA

5Starling Marte (R)9.5%2.0 PA

6Salvador Perez (R)11.8%2.0 PA

7Nick Loftin (R)10.0%2.0 PA

8Carter Jensen (L)11.4%2.0 PA

9Isaac Collins (R)10.6%1.2 PA