MatchWiz Plays
Earned Runs · Saturday, June 20, 2026

SD @ TEX Earned Runs matchups · Saturday, June 20, 2026

SD
SD
San Diego Padres
64
Final
TEX
Texas Rangers
TEX
Globe Life FieldElevation 545 ftCenter Field 407 ft 74°F Roof ClosedWind 0 mph, None

SD Walker Buehler · RHP

Pitcher earned runs Rate10.1% Runs / BF

vs LHB9.2%
vs RHB11.7%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)13.1%

How often he gives up earned runs to the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload22.0 BF

Expected batters faced22.0
From recent starts8

How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.

Projection2.2 ER

Expected earned runs — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.

Earned Runs Line · O/U 2.5we lean Under

BookOverUnder
MGMBetMGM+100-145
DKDraftKings+120-160
FANFanatics+100-140

We project 2.2 ER vs the 2.5 line — leaning Under. Display only — not betting advice.

TEX lineup · K rate vs RHPExp PA
1Joc Pederson (L)11.4%3.0 PA
2Josh Jung (R)9.5%3.0 PA
3Wyatt Langford (R)12.1%3.0 PA
4Brandon Nimmo (L)9.9%3.0 PA
5Ezequiel Duran (R)12.5%2.0 PA
6Jarred Kelenic (L)9.2%2.0 PA
7Jake Burger (R)10.3%2.0 PA
8Nicky Lopez (L)9.4%2.0 PA
9Kyle Higashioka (R)10.3%2.0 PA

TEX Nathan Eovaldi · RHP

Pitcher earned runs Rate11.2% Runs / BF

vs LHB11.4%
vs RHB10.6%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)16.2%

How often he gives up earned runs to the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload25.9 BF

Expected batters faced25.9
From recent starts8

How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.

Projection2.8 ER

Expected earned runs — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.

SD lineup · K rate vs RHPExp PA
1Fernando Tatis Jr. (R)10.7%3.0 PA
2Samad Taylor (R)14.6%3.0 PA
3Manny Machado (R)11.0%3.0 PA
4Xander Bogaerts (R)10.8%3.0 PA
5Jackson Merrill (L)11.6%3.0 PA
6Ty France (R)9.7%3.0 PA
7Nick Solak (R)11.1%3.0 PA
8Jase Bowen (R)11.7%2.9 PA
9Blake Hunt (R)11.7%2.0 PA