MatchWiz Plays
Earned Runs · Saturday, June 20, 2026

WSH @ TB Earned Runs matchups · Saturday, June 20, 2026

WSH
WSH
Washington Nationals
43
Final
TB
Tampa Bay Rays
TB
Tropicana FieldElevation 15 ftCenter Field 404 ft 72°F DomeWind 0 mph, None

WSH Cade Cavalli · RHP

Pitcher earned runs Rate11.3% Runs / BF

vs LHB10.9%
vs RHB11.0%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)13.1%

How often he gives up earned runs to the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload23.5 BF

Expected batters faced23.5
From recent starts8

How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.

Projection2.8 ER

Expected earned runs — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.

Earned Runs Line · O/U 2.5we lean Over

BookOverUnder
MGMBetMGM+115-160
BOVBovada+115-155

We project 2.8 ER vs the 2.5 line — leaning Over. Display only — not betting advice.

TB lineup · K rate vs RHPExp PA
1Yandy Díaz (R)10.1%3.0 PA
2Jonathan Aranda (L)11.8%3.0 PA
3Cedric Mullins (L)11.8%3.0 PA
4Junior Caminero (R)12.6%3.0 PA
5Richie Palacios (L)11.7%3.0 PA
6Chandler Simpson (L)12.2%2.5 PA
7Victor Mesa Jr. (L)13.8%2.0 PA
8Hunter Feduccia (L)11.9%2.0 PA
9Taylor Walls (L)12.7%2.0 PA

TB Ian Seymour · LHP

Pitcher earned runs Rate11.4% Runs / BF

vs LHB14.6%
vs RHB8.8%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)8.9%

How often he gives up earned runs to the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload12.6 BF

Expected batters faced12.6
From recent starts8

How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.

Projection1.6 ER

Expected earned runs — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.

Earned Runs Line · O/U 1.5we lean Over

BookOverUnder
MGMBetMGM-175+125
BOVBovada-170+130
DKDraftKings-176+132
FANFanatics-180+125

We project 1.6 ER vs the 1.5 line — leaning Over. Display only — not betting advice.

WSH lineup · K rate vs LHPExp PA
1James Wood (L)13.9%2.0 PA
2Curtis Mead (R)15.4%2.0 PA
3Andrés Chaparro (R)12.5%2.0 PA
4CJ Abrams (L)12.3%1.6 PA
5Dylan Crews (R)12.2%1.0 PA
6Daylen Lile (L)10.1%1.0 PA
7Jacob Young (R)13.0%1.0 PA
8Nasim Nuñez (R)14.6%1.0 PA
9Keibert Ruiz (R)11.5%1.0 PA