BOS @ SEA Earned Runs matchups · Saturday, June 20, 2026

BOS

Boston Red Sox

5–1

Final

SEA

Seattle Mariners

◆ T-Mobile ParkElevation 10 ftCenter Field 405 ft☀ 70°F ClearWind 8 mph, Out To CF

Connelly Early · LHP

Pitcher earned runs Rate11.0% Runs / BF

vs LHB11.3%

vs RHB10.4%

K-BB% (command-adj. skill)11.9%

How often he gives up earned runs to the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload24.1 BF

Expected batters faced24.1

From recent starts8

How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.

Projection2.5 ER

Expected earned runs — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.

Earned Runs Line · O/U 2.5we lean Over

BookOverUnder

MGMBetMGM+110-155

DKDraftKings+118-157

FANFanatics+110-155

We project 2.5 ER vs the 2.5 line — leaning Over. Display only — not betting advice.

SEA lineup · K rate vs LHPExp PA

1J.P. Crawford (L)11.6%3.0 PA

2Cal Raleigh (R)10.3%3.0 PA

3Julio Rodríguez (R)12.6%3.0 PA

4Josh Naylor (L)10.8%3.0 PA

5Rob Refsnyder (R)10.7%3.0 PA

6Cole Young (L)9.4%3.0 PA

7Mitch Garver (R)11.9%2.1 PA

8Connor Joe (R)8.3%2.0 PA

9Colt Emerson (L)11.8%2.0 PA

Emerson Hancock · RHP

Pitcher earned runs Rate11.2% Runs / BF

vs LHB12.3%

vs RHB9.4%

K-BB% (command-adj. skill)14.0%

How often he gives up earned runs to the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload22.7 BF

Expected batters faced22.7

From recent starts8

How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.

Projection2.4 ER

Expected earned runs — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.

Earned Runs Line · O/U 2.5we lean Under

BookOverUnder

DKDraftKings+129-172

We project 2.4 ER vs the 2.5 line — leaning Under. Display only — not betting advice.

BOS lineup · K rate vs RHPExp PA

1Anthony Seigler (L)10.6%3.0 PA

2Masataka Yoshida (L)9.6%3.0 PA

3Wilyer Abreu (L)9.9%3.0 PA

4Willson Contreras (R)11.6%3.0 PA

5Jarren Duran (L)11.2%2.7 PA

6Caleb Durbin (R)11.2%2.0 PA

7Marcelo Mayer (L)9.2%2.0 PA

8Carlos Narváez (R)9.8%2.0 PA

9Nate Eaton (R)12.4%2.0 PA