MatchWiz Plays
Earned Runs · Saturday, June 20, 2026

CIN @ NYY Earned Runs matchups · Saturday, June 20, 2026

CIN
CIN
Cincinnati Reds
102
Final
NYY
New York Yankees
NYY
Yankee StadiumElevation 55 ftCenter Field 408 ft 79°F Partly CloudyWind 16 mph, Out To RF

CIN Andrew Abbott · LHP

Pitcher earned runs Rate9.9% Runs / BF

vs LHB11.6%
vs RHB9.3%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)7.2%

How often he gives up earned runs to the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload23.1 BF

Expected batters faced23.1
From recent starts8

How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.

Projection2.5 ER

Expected earned runs — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.

Earned Runs Line · O/U 3.5we lean Under

BookOverUnder
MGMBetMGM+115-160
DKDraftKings+108-144
FANFanatics+115-165

We project 2.5 ER vs the 3.5 line — leaning Under. Display only — not betting advice.

NYY lineup · K rate vs LHPExp PA
1Ben Rice (L)11.3%3.0 PA
2Amed Rosario (R)10.9%3.0 PA
3Paul Goldschmidt (R)13.3%3.0 PA
4Cody Bellinger (L)12.8%3.0 PA
5Jasson Domínguez (R)11.7%3.0 PA
6José Caballero (R)14.2%2.1 PA
7Jazz Chisholm Jr. (L)12.6%2.0 PA
8Anthony Volpe (R)14.4%2.0 PA
9Ali Sánchez (R)9.4%2.0 PA

NYY Will Warren · RHP

Pitcher earned runs Rate10.5% Runs / BF

vs LHB11.7%
vs RHB9.1%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)16.6%

How often he gives up earned runs to the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload22.9 BF

Expected batters faced22.9
From recent starts8

How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.

Projection2.4 ER

Expected earned runs — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.

Earned Runs Line · O/U 2.5we lean Under

BookOverUnder
DKDraftKings+124-166

We project 2.4 ER vs the 2.5 line — leaning Under. Display only — not betting advice.

CIN lineup · K rate vs RHPExp PA
1Blake Dunn (R)11.3%3.0 PA
2JJ Bleday (L)14.2%3.0 PA
3Sal Stewart (R)12.2%3.0 PA
4Nathaniel Lowe (L)10.0%3.0 PA
5Spencer Steer (R)12.6%2.9 PA
6Noelvi Marte (R)10.0%2.0 PA
7Matt McLain (R)11.2%2.0 PA
8Jose Trevino (R)10.5%2.0 PA
9Edwin Arroyo (L)11.7%2.0 PA