MatchWiz Plays
Earned Runs · Saturday, June 20, 2026

PIT @ COL Earned Runs matchups · Saturday, June 20, 2026

PIT
PIT
Pittsburgh Pirates
12
Final
COL
Colorado Rockies
COL
Coors FieldElevation 5,190 ftCenter Field 415 ft 85°F ClearWind 4 mph, In From CF

PIT Paul Skenes · RHP

Pitcher earned runs Rate8.4% Runs / BF

vs LHB9.0%
vs RHB8.3%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)22.2%

How often he gives up earned runs to the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload23.8 BF

Expected batters faced23.8
From recent starts8

How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.

Projection2.3 ER

Expected earned runs — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.

Earned Runs Line · O/U 2.5we lean Under

BookOverUnder
DKDraftKings+122-162

We project 2.3 ER vs the 2.5 line — leaning Under. Display only — not betting advice.

COL lineup · K rate vs RHPExp PA
1Jake McCarthy (L)12.6%3.0 PA
2Willi Castro (L)13.4%3.0 PA
3TJ Rumfield (L)13.0%3.0 PA
4Hunter Goodman (R)14.5%3.0 PA
5Troy Johnston (L)11.7%3.0 PA
6Cole Carrigg (L)11.7%2.8 PA
7Edouard Julien (L)11.2%2.0 PA
8Ezequiel Tovar (R)10.6%2.0 PA
9Sterlin Thompson (L)11.7%2.0 PA

COL Tomoyuki Sugano · RHP

Pitcher earned runs Rate12.8% Runs / BF

vs LHB12.3%
vs RHB12.3%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)10.9%

How often he gives up earned runs to the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload22.8 BF

Expected batters faced22.8
From recent starts8

How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.

Projection3.0 ER

Expected earned runs — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.

Earned Runs Line · O/U 3.5we lean Under

BookOverUnder
MGMBetMGM-130-110
DKDraftKings-112-119
FANFanatics-130-110

We project 3.0 ER vs the 3.5 line — leaning Under. Display only — not betting advice.

PIT lineup · K rate vs RHPExp PA
1Spencer Horwitz (L)12.2%3.0 PA
2Brandon Lowe (L)14.3%3.0 PA
3Bryan Reynolds (L)14.2%3.0 PA
4Ryan O'Hearn (L)11.2%3.0 PA
5Nick Gonzales (R)11.7%2.8 PA
6Tyler Callihan (L)12.8%2.0 PA
7Jake Mangum (L)10.4%2.0 PA
8Jared Triolo (R)10.2%2.0 PA
9Henry Davis (R)10.6%2.0 PA