‹ Earned Runs · Saturday, June 20, 2026
TOR @ CHC Earned Runs matchups · Saturday, June 20, 2026
TOR
Toronto Blue Jays
8–6
Final
CHC
Chicago Cubs
◆ Wrigley FieldElevation 595 ftCenter Field 400 ft☀ 71°F Partly CloudyWind 6 mph, In From RF
Patrick Corbin · LHP
Pitcher earned runs Rate12.6% Runs / BF
vs LHB9.6%
vs RHB13.5%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)9.2%
How often he gives up earned runs to the batters he faces, by hand.
Workload21.5 BF
Expected batters faced21.5
From recent starts8
How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.
Projection2.9 ER
Expected earned runs — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.
Earned Runs Line · O/U 2.5we lean Over
BookOverUnder
MGMBetMGM-135-105
BOVBovada-135-105
DKDraftKings-130-102
We project 2.9 ER vs the 2.5 line — leaning Over. Display only — not betting advice.
CHC lineup · K rate vs LHPExp PA
1Pete Crow-Armstrong (L)10.9%3.0 PA
2Nico Hoerner (R)12.1%3.0 PA
3Seiya Suzuki (R)12.8%3.0 PA
4Michael Busch (L)9.6%2.5 PA
5Alex Bregman (R)11.7%2.0 PA
6Ian Happ (R)12.6%2.0 PA
7Matt Shaw (R)12.6%2.0 PA
8Miguel Amaya (R)12.0%2.0 PA
9Dansby Swanson (R)15.5%2.0 PA
Colin Rea · RHP
Pitcher earned runs Rate14.0% Runs / BF
vs LHB13.1%
vs RHB13.5%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)11.1%
How often he gives up earned runs to the batters he faces, by hand.
Workload23.2 BF
Expected batters faced23.2
From recent starts8
How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.
Projection3.5 ER
Expected earned runs — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.
Earned Runs Line · O/U 2.5we lean Over
BookOverUnder
MGMBetMGM-105-140
BOVBovada-105-135
DKDraftKings+101-134
FANFanatics-105-135
We project 3.5 ER vs the 2.5 line — leaning Over. Display only — not betting advice.
TOR lineup · K rate vs RHPExp PA
1George Springer (R)12.5%3.0 PA
2Nathan Lukes (L)12.1%3.0 PA
3Vladimir Guerrero Jr. (R)12.2%3.0 PA
4Brandon Valenzuela (L)12.5%3.0 PA
5Kazuma Okamoto (R)12.5%3.0 PA
6Daulton Varsho (L)12.8%2.2 PA
7Davis Schneider (R)13.1%2.0 PA
8Andrés Giménez (L)9.3%2.0 PA
9Myles Straw (R)19.4%2.0 PA