‹ Earned Runs · Saturday, June 20, 2026
MIL @ ATL Earned Runs matchups · Saturday, June 20, 2026
MIL
Milwaukee Brewers
3–4
Final
ATL
Atlanta Braves
◆ Truist ParkElevation 1,001 ftCenter Field 400 ft☀ 82°F CloudyWind 5 mph, In From RF
Kyle Harrison · LHP
Pitcher earned runs Rate10.7% Runs / BF
vs LHB10.9%
vs RHB10.1%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)18.2%
How often he gives up earned runs to the batters he faces, by hand.
Workload21.8 BF
Expected batters faced21.8
From recent starts8
How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.
Projection2.5 ER
Expected earned runs — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.
Earned Runs Line · O/U 2.5we lean Under
BookOverUnder
MGMBetMGM+120-165
DKDraftKings+127-170
We project 2.5 ER vs the 2.5 line — leaning Under. Display only — not betting advice.
ATL lineup · K rate vs LHPExp PA
1Mauricio Dubón (R)10.3%3.0 PA
2Drake Baldwin (L)14.2%3.0 PA
3Matt Olson (L)14.2%3.0 PA
4Ozzie Albies (R)10.3%2.8 PA
5Michael Harris II (L)11.6%2.0 PA
6Austin Riley (R)10.5%2.0 PA
7Eli White (R)11.6%2.0 PA
8Joey Bart (R)12.7%2.0 PA
9Jorge Mateo (R)14.0%2.0 PA
Chris Sale · LHP
Pitcher earned runs Rate7.9% Runs / BF
vs LHB7.2%
vs RHB8.7%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)18.0%
How often he gives up earned runs to the batters he faces, by hand.
Workload24.8 BF
Expected batters faced24.8
From recent starts8
How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.
Projection2.4 ER
Expected earned runs — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.
Earned Runs Line · O/U 1.5we lean Over
BookOverUnder
MGMBetMGM-135-105
DKDraftKings-138+104
FANFanatics-135-105
We project 2.4 ER vs the 1.5 line — leaning Over. Display only — not betting advice.
MIL lineup · K rate vs LHPExp PA
1Jackson Chourio (R)14.8%3.0 PA
2Brice Turang (L)10.7%3.0 PA
3William Contreras (R)15.4%3.0 PA
4Gary Sánchez (R)14.2%3.0 PA
5Andrew Vaughn (R)14.2%3.0 PA
6Blake Perkins (R)12.8%3.0 PA
7Garrett Mitchell (L)9.8%2.8 PA
8Cooper Pratt (R)11.7%2.0 PA
9Joey Ortiz (R)9.8%2.0 PA