‹ Earned Runs · Saturday, June 20, 2026
MIN @ AZ Earned Runs matchups · Saturday, June 20, 2026
MIN
Minnesota Twins
16–8
Final
AZ
Arizona Diamondbacks
◆ Chase FieldElevation 1,086 ftCenter Field 407 ft☀ 75°F Roof ClosedWind 0 mph, None
Taj Bradley · RHP
Pitcher earned runs Rate12.2% Runs / BF
vs LHB13.8%
vs RHB9.5%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)14.8%
How often he gives up earned runs to the batters he faces, by hand.
Workload23.8 BF
Expected batters faced23.8
From recent starts8
How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.
Projection3.1 ER
Expected earned runs — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.
Earned Runs Line · O/U 2.5we lean Over
BookOverUnder
MGMBetMGM-120-118
DKDraftKings-125-106
FANFanatics-120-120
We project 3.1 ER vs the 2.5 line — leaning Over. Display only — not betting advice.
AZ lineup · K rate vs RHPExp PA
1Ketel Marte (L)10.8%3.0 PA
2Geraldo Perdomo (L)11.7%3.0 PA
3Corbin Carroll (L)15.4%3.0 PA
4Lourdes Gurriel Jr. (R)9.9%3.0 PA
5Pavin Smith (L)11.7%3.0 PA
6Nolan Arenado (R)9.8%2.8 PA
7Adrian Del Castillo (L)11.7%2.0 PA
8Jorge Barrosa (L)11.7%2.0 PA
9Tommy Troy (R)11.2%2.0 PA
Zac Gallen · RHP
Pitcher earned runs Rate12.6% Runs / BF
vs LHB12.3%
vs RHB12.3%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)12.9%
How often he gives up earned runs to the batters he faces, by hand.
Workload24.1 BF
Expected batters faced24.1
From recent starts8
How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.
Projection3.5 ER
Expected earned runs — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.
Earned Runs Line · O/U 2.5we lean Over
BookOverUnder
MGMBetMGM-130-110
DKDraftKings-138+104
We project 3.5 ER vs the 2.5 line — leaning Over. Display only — not betting advice.
MIN lineup · K rate vs RHPExp PA
1Trevor Larnach (L)14.8%3.0 PA
2Byron Buxton (R)16.9%3.0 PA
3Kody Clemens (L)15.1%3.0 PA
4Josh Bell (L)12.9%3.0 PA
5Royce Lewis (R)9.7%3.0 PA
6Brooks Lee (L)11.8%3.0 PA
7Victor Caratini (L)9.5%2.1 PA
8Luke Keaschall (R)12.6%2.0 PA
9Ryan Kreidler (R)13.6%2.0 PA