MatchWiz Plays
Earned Runs · Sunday, June 21, 2026

SD @ TEX Earned Runs matchups · Sunday, June 21, 2026

SD
SD
San Diego Padres
34
Final
TEX
Texas Rangers
TEX
Globe Life FieldElevation 545 ftCenter Field 407 ft 74°F Roof ClosedWind 0 mph, None

SD Wandy Peralta · LHP

Pitcher earned runs Rate7.0% Runs / BF

vs LHB8.4%
vs RHB7.6%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)7.0%

How often he gives up earned runs to the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload9.9 BF

Expected batters faced9.9
From recent starts8

How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.

Projection0.8 ER

Expected earned runs — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.

Earned Runs Line · O/U 0.5we lean Over

BookOverUnder
MGMBetMGM+150-220

We project 0.8 ER vs the 0.5 line — leaning Over. Display only — not betting advice.

TEX lineup · K rate vs LHPExp PA
1Wyatt Langford (R)13.7%1.9 PA
2Josh Jung (R)12.7%1.0 PA
3Brandon Nimmo (L)10.0%1.0 PA
4Jake Burger (R)11.1%1.0 PA
5Joc Pederson (L)11.8%1.0 PA
6Ezequiel Duran (R)10.4%1.0 PA
7Alejandro Osuna (L)12.4%1.0 PA
8Kyle Higashioka (R)12.4%1.0 PA
9Nicky Lopez (L)11.7%1.0 PA

TEX Nathan Eovaldi · RHP

Pitcher earned runs Rate11.2% Runs / BF

vs LHB11.4%
vs RHB10.6%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)16.2%

How often he gives up earned runs to the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload25.9 BF

Expected batters faced25.9
From recent starts8

How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.

Projection3.0 ER

Expected earned runs — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.

Earned Runs Line · O/U 2.5we lean Over

BookOverUnder
MGMBetMGM+125-185
BOVBovada+135-175
DKDraftKings+133-177
FANFanatics+125-180

We project 3.0 ER vs the 2.5 line — leaning Over. Display only — not betting advice.

SD lineup · K rate vs RHPExp PA
1Samad Taylor (R)14.6%3.0 PA
2Jackson Merrill (L)11.6%3.0 PA
3Manny Machado (R)11.0%3.0 PA
4Gavin Sheets (L)12.1%3.0 PA
5Will Wagner (L)11.8%3.0 PA
6Xander Bogaerts (R)10.8%3.0 PA
7Ty France (R)9.7%3.0 PA
8Sung-Mun Song (L)12.4%2.9 PA
9Rodolfo Durán (R)11.7%2.0 PA