‹ Earned Runs · Sunday, June 21, 2026
NYM @ PHI Earned Runs matchups · Sunday, June 21, 2026
NYM
New York Mets
2–6
Final
PHI
Philadelphia Phillies
◆ Citizens Bank ParkElevation 20 ftCenter Field 401 ft☀ 83°F Partly CloudyWind 10 mph, Out To RF
David Peterson · LHP
Pitcher earned runs Rate14.3% Runs / BF
vs LHB12.0%
vs RHB14.1%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)5.7%
How often he gives up earned runs to the batters he faces, by hand.
Workload20.4 BF
Expected batters faced20.4
From recent starts8
How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.
Projection2.8 ER
Expected earned runs — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.
Earned Runs Line · O/U 2.5we lean Over
BookOverUnder
MGMBetMGM-150+105
DKDraftKings-127-104
FANFanatics-150+105
We project 2.8 ER vs the 2.5 line — leaning Over. Display only — not betting advice.
PHI lineup · K rate vs LHPExp PA
1Trea Turner (R)14.7%3.0 PA
2Kyle Schwarber (L)13.5%3.0 PA
3Bryce Harper (L)11.2%2.4 PA
4Alec Bohm (R)8.6%2.0 PA
5Edmundo Sosa (R)12.0%2.0 PA
6Brandon Marsh (L)11.7%2.0 PA
7J.T. Realmuto (R)9.2%2.0 PA
8Derek Hill (R)11.4%2.0 PA
9Bryson Stott (L)11.8%2.0 PA
Zack Wheeler · RHP
Pitcher earned runs Rate6.9% Runs / BF
vs LHB7.3%
vs RHB7.9%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)20.0%
How often he gives up earned runs to the batters he faces, by hand.
Workload23.8 BF
Expected batters faced23.8
From recent starts8
How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.
Projection1.9 ER
Expected earned runs — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.
Earned Runs Line · O/U 1.5we lean Over
BookOverUnder
MGMBetMGM-155+110
DKDraftKings-162+122
We project 1.9 ER vs the 1.5 line — leaning Over. Display only — not betting advice.
NYM lineup · K rate vs RHPExp PA
1Carson Benge (L)12.2%3.0 PA
2Bo Bichette (R)11.3%3.0 PA
3Juan Soto (L)13.5%3.0 PA
4Jared Young (L)11.9%3.0 PA
5A.J. Ewing (L)12.5%3.0 PA
6Marcus Semien (R)10.5%2.8 PA
7Brett Baty (L)9.4%2.0 PA
8Francisco Alvarez (R)10.2%2.0 PA
9Luis Torrens (R)11.5%2.0 PA