‹ Earned Runs · Sunday, June 21, 2026
CIN @ NYY Earned Runs matchups · Sunday, June 21, 2026
CIN
Cincinnati Reds
4–1
Final
NYY
New York Yankees
◆ Yankee StadiumElevation 55 ftCenter Field 408 ft☀ 79°F Partly CloudyWind 6 mph, In From LF
Chase Burns · RHP
Pitcher earned runs Rate7.2% Runs / BF
vs LHB8.5%
vs RHB7.0%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)17.6%
How often he gives up earned runs to the batters he faces, by hand.
Workload22.8 BF
Expected batters faced22.8
From recent starts8
How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.
Projection2.2 ER
Expected earned runs — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.
Earned Runs Line · O/U 2.5we lean Under
BookOverUnder
MGMBetMGM+110-155
DKDraftKings+120-160
FANFanatics+110-155
We project 2.2 ER vs the 2.5 line — leaning Under. Display only — not betting advice.
NYY lineup · K rate vs RHPExp PA
1Ben Rice (L)16.4%3.0 PA
2Jasson Domínguez (L)12.6%3.0 PA
3Cody Bellinger (L)14.0%3.0 PA
4Spencer Jones (L)11.7%3.0 PA
5Jazz Chisholm Jr. (L)14.0%2.8 PA
6José Caballero (R)11.0%2.0 PA
7Ryan McMahon (L)11.3%2.0 PA
8Austin Wells (L)11.1%2.0 PA
9Anthony Volpe (R)12.3%2.0 PA
Elmer Rodríguez · RHP
Pitcher earned runs Rate10.0% Runs / BF
vs LHB7.7%
vs RHB12.8%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)8.0%
How often he gives up earned runs to the batters he faces, by hand.
Workload22.2 BF
Expected batters faced22.2
From recent starts3
How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.
Projection2.5 ER
Expected earned runs — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.
Earned Runs Line · O/U 2.5we lean Under
BookOverUnder
MGMBetMGM+105-150
DKDraftKings+111-147
We project 2.5 ER vs the 2.5 line — leaning Under. Display only — not betting advice.
CIN lineup · K rate vs RHPExp PA
1Blake Dunn (R)11.3%3.0 PA
2JJ Bleday (L)14.2%3.0 PA
3Sal Stewart (R)12.2%3.0 PA
4Nathaniel Lowe (L)10.0%3.0 PA
5Spencer Steer (R)12.6%2.2 PA
6Eugenio Suárez (R)10.7%2.0 PA
7Noelvi Marte (R)10.0%2.0 PA
8Tyler Stephenson (R)9.2%2.0 PA
9Edwin Arroyo (L)11.7%2.0 PA