MatchWiz Plays
Earned Runs · Sunday, June 21, 2026

SF @ MIA Earned Runs matchups · Sunday, June 21, 2026

SF
SF
San Francisco Giants
12
Final
MIA
Miami Marlins
MIA
loanDepot parkElevation 10 ftCenter Field 407 ft 72°F Roof ClosedWind 0 mph, None

SF Logan Webb · RHP

Pitcher earned runs Rate8.3% Runs / BF

vs LHB8.6%
vs RHB9.3%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)14.9%

How often he gives up earned runs to the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload24.7 BF

Expected batters faced24.7
From recent starts8

How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.

Projection2.3 ER

Expected earned runs — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.

Earned Runs Line · O/U 2.5we lean Under

BookOverUnder
MGMBetMGM+105-150
DKDraftKings+101-134

We project 2.3 ER vs the 2.5 line — leaning Under. Display only — not betting advice.

MIA lineup · K rate vs RHPExp PA
1Jakob Marsee (L)11.2%3.0 PA
2Otto Lopez (R)14.6%3.0 PA
3Kyle Stowers (L)11.7%3.0 PA
4Xavier Edwards (L)10.7%3.0 PA
5Heriberto Hernández (R)12.2%3.0 PA
6Owen Caissie (L)10.7%3.0 PA
7Leo Jiménez (R)10.5%2.7 PA
8Joe Mack (L)11.7%2.0 PA
9Esteury Ruiz (R)13.5%2.0 PA

MIA Ryan Gusto · RHP

Pitcher earned runs Rate13.8% Runs / BF

vs LHB13.6%
vs RHB12.3%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)13.2%

How often he gives up earned runs to the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload16.9 BF

Expected batters faced16.9
From recent starts5

How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.

Projection2.5 ER

Expected earned runs — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.

Earned Runs Line · O/U 2.5we lean Under

BookOverUnder
MGMBetMGM-118-120
DKDraftKings-114-116
FANFanatics-120-120

We project 2.5 ER vs the 2.5 line — leaning Under. Display only — not betting advice.

SF lineup · K rate vs RHPExp PA
1Luis Arraez (L)13.9%2.0 PA
2Bryce Eldridge (L)14.1%2.0 PA
3Casey Schmitt (R)11.5%2.0 PA
4Rafael Devers (L)12.2%2.0 PA
5Jung Hoo Lee (L)13.8%2.0 PA
6Willy Adames (R)12.6%2.0 PA
7Matt Chapman (R)11.6%2.0 PA
8Drew Gilbert (L)12.6%1.9 PA
9Daniel Susac (R)8.1%1.0 PA