‹ Earned Runs · Sunday, June 21, 2026
STL @ KC Earned Runs matchups · Sunday, June 21, 2026
STL
St. Louis Cardinals
12–10
Final
KC
Kansas City Royals
◆ Kauffman StadiumElevation 856 ftCenter Field 410 ft☀ 77°F Partly CloudyWind 12 mph, L To R
Dustin May · RHP
Pitcher earned runs Rate8.9% Runs / BF
vs LHB9.7%
vs RHB9.3%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)17.6%
How often he gives up earned runs to the batters he faces, by hand.
Workload24.4 BF
Expected batters faced24.4
From recent starts8
How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.
Projection2.4 ER
Expected earned runs — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.
Earned Runs Line · O/U 2.5we lean Under
BookOverUnder
MGMBetMGM-125-110
BOVBovada-105-135
We project 2.4 ER vs the 2.5 line — leaning Under. Display only — not betting advice.
KC lineup · K rate vs RHPExp PA
1Carter Jensen (L)13.9%3.0 PA
2Maikel Garcia (R)11.1%3.0 PA
3Jac Caglianone (L)13.4%3.0 PA
4Salvador Perez (R)9.1%3.0 PA
5Michael Massey (L)10.9%3.0 PA
6Lane Thomas (R)12.5%3.0 PA
7Kameron Misner (L)9.7%2.4 PA
8Nick Loftin (R)11.4%2.0 PA
9Isaac Collins (L)10.3%2.0 PA
Stephen Kolek · RHP
Pitcher earned runs Rate7.8% Runs / BF
vs LHB6.7%
vs RHB10.6%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)8.3%
How often he gives up earned runs to the batters he faces, by hand.
Workload24.3 BF
Expected batters faced24.3
From recent starts8
How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.
Projection2.3 ER
Expected earned runs — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.
Earned Runs Line · O/U 2.5we lean Under
BookOverUnder
MGMBetMGM-155+110
FANFanatics-155+110
We project 2.3 ER vs the 2.5 line — leaning Under. Display only — not betting advice.
STL lineup · K rate vs RHPExp PA
1JJ Wetherholt (L)14.7%3.0 PA
2Iván Herrera (R)14.4%3.0 PA
3Alec Burleson (L)15.0%3.0 PA
4Jordan Walker (R)11.0%3.0 PA
5Lars Nootbaar (L)13.0%3.0 PA
6Masyn Winn (R)11.9%3.0 PA
7Jimmy Crooks (L)9.4%2.3 PA
8Blaze Jordan (R)11.7%2.0 PA
9Nathan Church (L)11.8%2.0 PA