‹ Earned Runs · Sunday, June 21, 2026
PIT @ COL Earned Runs matchups · Sunday, June 21, 2026
PIT
Pittsburgh Pirates
8–6
Final
COL
Colorado Rockies
◆ Coors FieldElevation 5,190 ftCenter Field 415 ft☀ 88°F Partly CloudyWind 17 mph, In From LF
Jared Jones · RHP
Pitcher earned runs Rate12.8% Runs / BF
vs LHB16.8%
vs RHB7.4%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)13.5%
How often he gives up earned runs to the batters he faces, by hand.
Workload21.0 BF
Expected batters faced21.0
From recent starts4
How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.
Projection3.4 ER
Expected earned runs — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.
Earned Runs Line · O/U 2.5we lean Over
BookOverUnder
MGMBetMGM-110-130
DKDraftKings-117-113
FANFanatics-110-130
We project 3.4 ER vs the 2.5 line — leaning Over. Display only — not betting advice.
COL lineup · K rate vs RHPExp PA
1Jake McCarthy (L)12.6%3.0 PA
2Willi Castro (L)13.4%3.0 PA
3TJ Rumfield (L)13.0%3.0 PA
4Tyler Freeman (R)11.7%2.0 PA
5Cole Carrigg (L)11.7%2.0 PA
6Edouard Julien (L)11.2%2.0 PA
7Sterlin Thompson (L)11.7%2.0 PA
8Kyle Karros (R)14.6%2.0 PA
9Brett Sullivan (L)10.8%2.0 PA
Michael Lorenzen · RHP
Pitcher earned runs Rate12.4% Runs / BF
vs LHB13.4%
vs RHB11.7%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)13.6%
How often he gives up earned runs to the batters he faces, by hand.
Workload22.5 BF
Expected batters faced22.5
From recent starts8
How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.
Projection3.2 ER
Expected earned runs — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.
Earned Runs Line · O/U 3.5we lean Under
BookOverUnder
MGMBetMGM+105-150
DKDraftKings+110-146
We project 3.2 ER vs the 3.5 line — leaning Under. Display only — not betting advice.
PIT lineup · K rate vs RHPExp PA
1Spencer Horwitz (L)12.2%3.0 PA
2Brandon Lowe (L)14.3%3.0 PA
3Bryan Reynolds (L)14.2%3.0 PA
4Ryan O'Hearn (L)11.2%3.0 PA
5Nick Gonzales (R)11.7%2.5 PA
6Endy Rodríguez (L)12.4%2.0 PA
7Tyler Callihan (L)12.8%2.0 PA
8Jake Mangum (L)10.4%2.0 PA
9Jared Triolo (R)10.2%2.0 PA