‹ Earned Runs · Sunday, June 21, 2026
TOR @ CHC Earned Runs matchups · Sunday, June 21, 2026
TOR
Toronto Blue Jays
vs
Postponed
CHC
Chicago Cubs
◆ Wrigley FieldElevation 595 ftCenter Field 400 ft☀ 63°F OvercastWind 8 mph, R To L
Dylan Cease · RHP
Pitcher earned runs Rate7.8% Runs / BF
vs LHB9.3%
vs RHB7.5%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)24.4%
How often he gives up earned runs to the batters he faces, by hand.
Workload23.7 BF
Expected batters faced23.7
From recent starts8
How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.
Projection2.1 ER
Expected earned runs — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.
Earned Runs Line · O/U 1.5we lean Over
BookOverUnder
MGMBetMGM-155+110
We project 2.1 ER vs the 1.5 line — leaning Over. Display only — not betting advice.
CHC lineup · K rate vs RHPExp PA
1Pete Crow-Armstrong (L)15.4%3.0 PA
2Alex Bregman (R)10.8%3.0 PA
3Michael Busch (L)11.2%3.0 PA
4Seiya Suzuki (R)12.7%3.0 PA
5Ian Happ (L)14.4%3.0 PA
6Matt Shaw (R)11.5%2.7 PA
7Nico Hoerner (R)8.1%2.0 PA
8Carson Kelly (R)9.3%2.0 PA
9Dansby Swanson (R)12.4%2.0 PA
Shota Imanaga · LHP
Pitcher earned runs Rate11.2% Runs / BF
vs LHB12.3%
vs RHB10.5%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)15.3%
How often he gives up earned runs to the batters he faces, by hand.
Workload23.5 BF
Expected batters faced23.5
From recent starts8
How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.
Projection2.6 ER
Expected earned runs — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.
Earned Runs Line · O/U 2.5we lean Over
BookOverUnder
MGMBetMGM+130-190
FANFanatics+130-185
We project 2.6 ER vs the 2.5 line — leaning Over. Display only — not betting advice.
TOR lineup · K rate vs LHPExp PA
1George Springer (R)9.8%3.0 PA
2Vladimir Guerrero Jr. (R)14.5%3.0 PA
3Kazuma Okamoto (R)11.3%3.0 PA
4Alejandro Kirk (R)11.5%3.0 PA
5Daulton Varsho (L)10.9%3.0 PA
6Ernie Clement (R)13.3%2.5 PA
7Davis Schneider (R)13.1%2.0 PA
8Jesús Sánchez (L)9.3%2.0 PA
9Myles Straw (R)10.2%2.0 PA