‹ Earned Runs · Sunday, June 21, 2026
MIL @ ATL Earned Runs matchups · Sunday, June 21, 2026
MIL
Milwaukee Brewers
9–4
Final
ATL
Atlanta Braves
◆ Truist ParkElevation 1,001 ftCenter Field 400 ft☀ 77°F Partly CloudyWind 8 mph, R To L
Robert Gasser · LHP
Pitcher earned runs Rate11.7% Runs / BF
vs LHB12.4%
vs RHB10.7%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)16.3%
How often he gives up earned runs to the batters he faces, by hand.
Workload22.0 BF
Expected batters faced22.0
From recent starts5
How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.
Projection2.6 ER
Expected earned runs — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.
Earned Runs Line · O/U 2.5we lean Over
BookOverUnder
MGMBetMGM+100-140
DKDraftKings-109-121
FANFanatics+100-140
We project 2.6 ER vs the 2.5 line — leaning Over. Display only — not betting advice.
ATL lineup · K rate vs LHPExp PA
1Mauricio Dubón (R)10.3%3.0 PA
2Drake Baldwin (L)14.2%3.0 PA
3Ozzie Albies (R)10.3%3.0 PA
4Matt Olson (L)14.2%3.0 PA
5Michael Harris II (L)11.6%2.0 PA
6Austin Riley (R)10.5%2.0 PA
7Joey Bart (R)12.7%2.0 PA
8Eli White (R)11.6%2.0 PA
9Ha-Seong Kim (R)9.9%2.0 PA
Bryce Elder · RHP
Pitcher earned runs Rate11.3% Runs / BF
vs LHB10.7%
vs RHB11.4%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)14.7%
How often he gives up earned runs to the batters he faces, by hand.
Workload23.9 BF
Expected batters faced23.9
From recent starts8
How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.
Projection3.4 ER
Expected earned runs — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.
Earned Runs Line · O/U 2.5we lean Over
BookOverUnder
MGMBetMGM-120-118
DKDraftKings-111-119
We project 3.4 ER vs the 2.5 line — leaning Over. Display only — not betting advice.
MIL lineup · K rate vs RHPExp PA
1Christian Yelich (L)16.6%3.0 PA
2Jackson Chourio (R)14.6%3.0 PA
3Brice Turang (L)16.4%3.0 PA
4William Contreras (R)12.7%3.0 PA
5Jake Bauers (L)16.5%3.0 PA
6Garrett Mitchell (L)15.2%2.9 PA
7Sal Frelick (L)11.1%2.0 PA
8Cooper Pratt (R)11.7%2.0 PA
9David Hamilton (L)13.1%2.0 PA