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Earned Runs · Monday, June 22, 2026

PHI @ WSH Earned Runs matchups · Monday, June 22, 2026

PHI
PHI
Philadelphia Phillies
14
Final
WSH
Washington Nationals
WSH
Nationals ParkElevation 35 ftCenter Field 402 ft 73°F CloudyWind 2 mph, Out To RF

PHI Tim Mayza · LHP

Pitcher earned runs Rate9.1% Runs / BF

vs LHB7.1%
vs RHB12.0%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)15.3%

How often he gives up earned runs to the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload9.1 BF

Expected batters faced9.1
From recent starts8

How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.

Projection1.0 ER

Expected earned runs — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.

Earned Runs Line · O/U 0.5we lean Over

BookOverUnder
MGMBetMGM+105-140

We project 1.0 ER vs the 0.5 line — leaning Over. Display only — not betting advice.

WSH lineup · K rate vs LHPExp PA
1James Wood (L)12.2%1.1 PA
2Curtis Mead (R)14.6%1.0 PA
3Dylan Crews (R)13.8%1.0 PA
4CJ Abrams (L)12.5%1.0 PA
5Jacob Young (R)12.9%1.0 PA
6Daylen Lile (L)10.0%1.0 PA
7Keibert Ruiz (R)12.2%1.0 PA
8Luis García Jr. (L)10.6%1.0 PA
9Nasim Nuñez (R)13.6%1.0 PA

WSH Foster Griffin · LHP

Pitcher earned runs Rate8.6% Runs / BF

vs LHB8.2%
vs RHB9.6%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)12.5%

How often he gives up earned runs to the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload23.0 BF

Expected batters faced23.0
From recent starts8

How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.

Projection2.2 ER

Expected earned runs — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.

Earned Runs Line · O/U 2.5we lean Under

BookOverUnder
MGMBetMGM-115-118
BOVBovada-140+100
FANFanatics-120-120

We project 2.2 ER vs the 2.5 line — leaning Under. Display only — not betting advice.

PHI lineup · K rate vs LHPExp PA
1Trea Turner (R)16.3%3.0 PA
2Kyle Schwarber (L)14.8%3.0 PA
3Bryce Harper (L)10.8%3.0 PA
4Alec Bohm (R)8.6%3.0 PA
5Edmundo Sosa (R)11.9%3.0 PA
6Brandon Marsh (L)11.2%2.0 PA
7Derek Hill (R)10.8%2.0 PA
8Bryson Stott (L)12.5%2.0 PA
9Rafael Marchán (R)10.8%2.0 PA
PHI @ WSH Earned Runs Matchups — Monday, June 22, 2026 · MatchWiz