‹ Earned Runs · Monday, June 22, 2026
HOU @ TOR Earned Runs matchups · Monday, June 22, 2026
HOU
Houston Astros
2–4
Final
TOR
Toronto Blue Jays
◆ Rogers CentreElevation 270 ftCenter Field 404 ft☀ 61°F Partly CloudyWind 10 mph, R To L
Hunter Brown · RHP
Pitcher earned runs Rate7.4% Runs / BF
vs LHB7.5%
vs RHB9.2%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)16.3%
How often he gives up earned runs to the batters he faces, by hand.
Workload22.2 BF
Expected batters faced22.2
From recent starts3
How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.
Projection2.0 ER
Expected earned runs — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.
Earned Runs Line · O/U 2.5we lean Under
BookOverUnder
MGMBetMGM+125-175
DKDraftKings+110-146
We project 2.0 ER vs the 2.5 line — leaning Under. Display only — not betting advice.
TOR lineup · K rate vs RHPExp PA
1George Springer (R)13.1%3.0 PA
2Nathan Lukes (L)11.7%3.0 PA
3Vladimir Guerrero Jr. (R)12.6%3.0 PA
4Alejandro Kirk (R)8.8%3.0 PA
5Daulton Varsho (L)13.4%2.2 PA
6Kazuma Okamoto (R)13.3%2.0 PA
7Jesús Sánchez (L)11.3%2.0 PA
8Ernie Clement (R)11.1%2.0 PA
9Andrés Giménez (L)10.0%2.0 PA
Dylan Cease · RHP
Pitcher earned runs Rate7.8% Runs / BF
vs LHB9.3%
vs RHB7.5%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)24.4%
How often he gives up earned runs to the batters he faces, by hand.
Workload23.7 BF
Expected batters faced23.7
From recent starts8
How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.
Projection2.1 ER
Expected earned runs — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.
Earned Runs Line · O/U 1.5we lean Over
BookOverUnder
MGMBetMGM-160+115
DKDraftKings-161+121
FANFanatics-165+115
We project 2.1 ER vs the 1.5 line — leaning Over. Display only — not betting advice.
HOU lineup · K rate vs RHPExp PA
1Jeremy Peña (R)14.5%3.0 PA
2Yordan Alvarez (L)15.7%3.0 PA
3Christian Walker (R)11.8%3.0 PA
4Isaac Paredes (R)10.7%3.0 PA
5Jose Altuve (R)11.6%3.0 PA
6Yainer Diaz (R)9.8%2.7 PA
7Joey Loperfido (L)12.4%2.0 PA
8Jake Meyers (R)11.4%2.0 PA
9Raynel Delgado (L)10.3%2.0 PA