MatchWiz Plays
Earned Runs · Monday, June 22, 2026

KC @ TB Earned Runs matchups · Monday, June 22, 2026

KC
KC
Kansas City Royals
21
Final
TB
Tampa Bay Rays
TB
Tropicana FieldElevation 15 ftCenter Field 404 ft 72°F DomeWind 0 mph, None

KC Michael Wacha · RHP

Pitcher earned runs Rate10.6% Runs / BF

vs LHB10.5%
vs RHB10.6%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)10.8%

How often he gives up earned runs to the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload25.2 BF

Expected batters faced25.2
From recent starts8

How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.

Projection2.8 ER

Expected earned runs — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.

Earned Runs Line · O/U 2.5we lean Over

BookOverUnder
MGMBetMGM-120-115
DKDraftKings-137+103
FANFanatics-125-115

We project 2.8 ER vs the 2.5 line — leaning Over. Display only — not betting advice.

TB lineup · K rate vs RHPExp PA
1Yandy Díaz (R)11.4%3.0 PA
2Jonny DeLuca (R)13.3%3.0 PA
3Jonathan Aranda (L)12.3%3.0 PA
4Junior Caminero (R)11.8%3.0 PA
5Ryan Vilade (R)10.9%3.0 PA
6Chandler Simpson (L)11.7%3.0 PA
7Ben Williamson (R)10.8%3.0 PA
8Nick Fortes (R)9.5%2.2 PA
9Richie Palacios (L)12.1%2.0 PA

TB Drew Rasmussen · RHP

Pitcher earned runs Rate7.4% Runs / BF

vs LHB9.1%
vs RHB6.7%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)19.8%

How often he gives up earned runs to the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload23.2 BF

Expected batters faced23.2
From recent starts8

How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.

Projection2.1 ER

Expected earned runs — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.

Earned Runs Line · O/U 1.5we lean Over

BookOverUnder
MGMBetMGM-125-110
DKDraftKings-114-116

We project 2.1 ER vs the 1.5 line — leaning Over. Display only — not betting advice.

KC lineup · K rate vs RHPExp PA
1Carter Jensen (L)14.8%3.0 PA
2Maikel Garcia (R)11.1%3.0 PA
3Jac Caglianone (L)16.1%3.0 PA
4Salvador Perez (R)9.5%3.0 PA
5Michael Massey (L)11.0%3.0 PA
6Lane Thomas (R)12.1%2.2 PA
7John Rave (L)13.0%2.0 PA
8Nick Loftin (R)12.3%2.0 PA
9Isaac Collins (L)11.0%2.0 PA