‹ Earned Runs · Monday, June 22, 2026
AZ @ STL Earned Runs matchups · Monday, June 22, 2026
AZ
Arizona Diamondbacks
2–3
Final
STL
St. Louis Cardinals
◆ Busch StadiumElevation 460 ftCenter Field 400 ft☀ 71°F CloudyWind 6 mph, In From LF
Merrill Kelly · RHP
Pitcher earned runs Rate13.3% Runs / BF
vs LHB14.7%
vs RHB10.4%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)13.5%
How often he gives up earned runs to the batters he faces, by hand.
Workload25.5 BF
Expected batters faced25.5
From recent starts8
How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.
Projection3.7 ER
Expected earned runs — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.
Earned Runs Line · O/U 2.5we lean Over
BookOverUnder
MGMBetMGM-145+105
DKDraftKings-138+104
FANFanatics-140+100
We project 3.7 ER vs the 2.5 line — leaning Over. Display only — not betting advice.
STL lineup · K rate vs RHPExp PA
1JJ Wetherholt (L)15.9%3.0 PA
2Iván Herrera (R)15.6%3.0 PA
3Alec Burleson (L)14.5%3.0 PA
4Jordan Walker (R)10.8%3.0 PA
5Lars Nootbaar (L)13.1%3.0 PA
6Masyn Winn (R)12.3%3.0 PA
7Jimmy Crooks (L)8.8%3.0 PA
8Blaze Jordan (R)11.7%2.5 PA
9Nathan Church (L)13.4%2.0 PA
Andre Pallante · RHP
Pitcher earned runs Rate10.2% Runs / BF
vs LHB10.5%
vs RHB10.2%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)14.8%
How often he gives up earned runs to the batters he faces, by hand.
Workload23.0 BF
Expected batters faced23.0
From recent starts8
How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.
Projection2.4 ER
Expected earned runs — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.
Earned Runs Line · O/U 2.5we lean Under
BookOverUnder
MGMBetMGM+115-155
DKDraftKings+109-145
We project 2.4 ER vs the 2.5 line — leaning Under. Display only — not betting advice.
AZ lineup · K rate vs RHPExp PA
1Ketel Marte (L)10.6%3.0 PA
2Geraldo Perdomo (L)12.4%3.0 PA
3Corbin Carroll (L)14.8%3.0 PA
4Pavin Smith (L)10.2%3.0 PA
5Nolan Arenado (R)10.1%3.0 PA
6Adrian Del Castillo (L)10.9%2.0 PA
7Lourdes Gurriel Jr. (R)9.4%2.0 PA
8Tommy Troy (R)12.7%2.0 PA
9Tim Tawa (R)10.0%2.0 PA