‹ Earned Runs · Monday, June 22, 2026
NYY @ DET Earned Runs matchups · Monday, June 22, 2026
NYY
New York Yankees
3–5
Final
DET
Detroit Tigers
◆ Comerica ParkElevation 600 ftCenter Field 420 ft☀ 75°F Partly CloudyWind 13 mph, In From CF
Gerrit Cole · RHP
Pitcher earned runs Rate9.0% Runs / BF
vs LHB8.9%
vs RHB10.1%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)12.8%
How often he gives up earned runs to the batters he faces, by hand.
Workload22.6 BF
Expected batters faced22.6
From recent starts5
How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.
Projection2.3 ER
Expected earned runs — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.
Earned Runs Line · O/U 2.5we lean Under
BookOverUnder
MGMBetMGM+110-150
BOVBovada+120-160
DKDraftKings+120-160
FANFanatics+110-155
We project 2.3 ER vs the 2.5 line — leaning Under. Display only — not betting advice.
DET lineup · K rate vs RHPExp PA
1Kevin McGonigle (L)14.6%3.0 PA
2Dillon Dingler (R)14.7%3.0 PA
3Kerry Carpenter (L)10.7%3.0 PA
4Riley Greene (L)12.6%3.0 PA
5Spencer Torkelson (R)11.3%2.6 PA
6Colt Keith (L)12.9%2.0 PA
7James Outman (L)10.8%2.0 PA
8Hao-Yu Lee (R)8.7%2.0 PA
9Zach McKinstry (L)9.4%2.0 PA
Framber Valdez · LHP
Pitcher earned runs Rate9.8% Runs / BF
vs LHB9.9%
vs RHB10.1%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)9.3%
How often he gives up earned runs to the batters he faces, by hand.
Workload23.9 BF
Expected batters faced23.9
From recent starts8
How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.
Projection2.6 ER
Expected earned runs — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.
Earned Runs Line · O/U 2.5we lean Over
BookOverUnder
MGMBetMGM-105-130
BOVBovada+105-145
DKDraftKings+106-140
We project 2.6 ER vs the 2.5 line — leaning Over. Display only — not betting advice.
NYY lineup · K rate vs LHPExp PA
1Amed Rosario (R)10.5%3.0 PA
2Ben Rice (L)11.0%3.0 PA
3Paul Goldschmidt (R)13.7%3.0 PA
4Cody Bellinger (L)13.0%3.0 PA
5Anthony Volpe (R)13.8%3.0 PA
6Jazz Chisholm Jr. (L)12.1%2.9 PA
7Jasson Domínguez (R)10.8%2.0 PA
8José Caballero (R)13.7%2.0 PA
9Ali Sánchez (R)9.1%2.0 PA