MatchWiz Plays
Earned Runs · Monday, June 22, 2026

BOS @ COL Earned Runs matchups · Monday, June 22, 2026

BOS
BOS
Boston Red Sox
23
Final
COL
Colorado Rockies
COL
Coors FieldElevation 5,190 ftCenter Field 415 ft 89°F Partly CloudyWind 3 mph, Out To CF

BOS Jake Bennett · LHP

Pitcher earned runs Rate10.8% Runs / BF

vs LHB10.8%
vs RHB10.8%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)13.0%

How often he gives up earned runs to the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload22.0 BF

Expected batters faced22.0
From recent starts4

How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.

Projection2.4 ER

Expected earned runs — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.

Earned Runs Line · O/U 2.5we lean Under

BookOverUnder
MGMBetMGM-155+115
DKDraftKings-162+122
FANFanatics-155+110

We project 2.4 ER vs the 2.5 line — leaning Under. Display only — not betting advice.

COL lineup · K rate vs LHPExp PA
1Willi Castro (R)11.3%3.0 PA
2Tyler Freeman (R)13.7%3.0 PA
3TJ Rumfield (L)8.8%3.0 PA
4Hunter Goodman (R)11.7%3.0 PA
5Cole Carrigg (R)11.7%2.0 PA
6Jake McCarthy (L)8.8%2.0 PA
7Braxton Fulford (R)11.7%2.0 PA
8Kyle Karros (R)12.8%2.0 PA
9Ezequiel Tovar (R)11.7%2.0 PA

COL Ryan Feltner · RHP

Pitcher earned runs Rate12.8% Runs / BF

vs LHB10.5%
vs RHB13.9%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)9.5%

How often he gives up earned runs to the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload21.0 BF

Expected batters faced21.0
From recent starts8

How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.

Projection2.4 ER

Expected earned runs — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.

Earned Runs Line · O/U 3.5we lean Under

BookOverUnder
MGMBetMGM+120-165
DKDraftKings+123-163

We project 2.4 ER vs the 3.5 line — leaning Under. Display only — not betting advice.

BOS lineup · K rate vs RHPExp PA
1Mickey Gasper (L)10.3%3.0 PA
2Ceddanne Rafaela (R)11.1%3.0 PA
3Wilyer Abreu (L)11.7%3.0 PA
4Willson Contreras (R)11.1%2.0 PA
5Jarren Duran (L)11.2%2.0 PA
6Caleb Durbin (R)12.6%2.0 PA
7Masataka Yoshida (L)9.2%2.0 PA
8Anthony Seigler (L)10.9%2.0 PA
9Marcelo Mayer (L)8.7%2.0 PA