MatchWiz Plays
Earned Runs · Monday, June 22, 2026

MIL @ CIN Earned Runs matchups · Monday, June 22, 2026

MIL
MIL
Milwaukee Brewers
21
Final
CIN
Cincinnati Reds
CIN
Great American Ball ParkElevation 535 ftCenter Field 404 ft 70°F Partly CloudyWind 11 mph, Out To RF

MIL Brandon Woodruff · RHP

Pitcher earned runs Rate10.0% Runs / BF

vs LHB7.9%
vs RHB12.6%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)16.7%

How often he gives up earned runs to the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload21.1 BF

Expected batters faced21.1
From recent starts6

How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.

Projection2.5 ER

Expected earned runs — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.

Earned Runs Line · O/U 2.5we lean Under

BookOverUnder
MGMBetMGM+120-160
DKDraftKings+121-161

We project 2.5 ER vs the 2.5 line — leaning Under. Display only — not betting advice.

CIN lineup · K rate vs RHPExp PA
1Blake Dunn (R)11.7%3.0 PA
2JJ Bleday (L)14.4%3.0 PA
3Sal Stewart (R)11.5%3.0 PA
4Nathaniel Lowe (L)10.8%2.1 PA
5Spencer Steer (R)12.8%2.0 PA
6Eugenio Suárez (R)10.4%2.0 PA
7Noelvi Marte (R)10.3%2.0 PA
8Tyler Stephenson (R)9.6%2.0 PA
9Matt McLain (R)10.8%2.0 PA

CIN Brady Singer · RHP

Pitcher earned runs Rate10.9% Runs / BF

vs LHB10.3%
vs RHB11.9%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)10.4%

How often he gives up earned runs to the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload21.7 BF

Expected batters faced21.7
From recent starts8

How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.

Projection3.0 ER

Expected earned runs — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.

Earned Runs Line · O/U 2.5we lean Over

BookOverUnder
MGMBetMGM-160+120
FANFanatics-165+115

We project 3.0 ER vs the 2.5 line — leaning Over. Display only — not betting advice.

MIL lineup · K rate vs RHPExp PA
1Christian Yelich (L)17.0%3.0 PA
2Jackson Chourio (R)13.8%3.0 PA
3Brice Turang (L)15.4%3.0 PA
4William Contreras (R)13.8%2.7 PA
5Jake Bauers (L)15.4%2.0 PA
6Garrett Mitchell (L)15.7%2.0 PA
7Sal Frelick (L)11.4%2.0 PA
8Joey Ortiz (R)12.0%2.0 PA
9David Hamilton (L)13.3%2.0 PA