‹ Earned Runs · Tuesday, June 23, 2026
PHI @ WSH Earned Runs matchups · Tuesday, June 23, 2026
PHI
Philadelphia Phillies
14–9
Final
WSH
Washington Nationals
◆ Nationals ParkElevation 35 ftCenter Field 402 ft☀ 74°F Partly CloudyWind 10 mph, L To R
Jesús Luzardo · LHP
Pitcher earned runs Rate10.0% Runs / BF
vs LHB8.6%
vs RHB10.9%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)16.4%
How often he gives up earned runs to the batters he faces, by hand.
Workload23.7 BF
Expected batters faced23.7
From recent starts8
How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.
Projection2.8 ER
Expected earned runs — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.
Earned Runs Line · O/U 2.5we lean Over
BookOverUnder
MGMBetMGM+115-160
FANFanatics+115-165
We project 2.8 ER vs the 2.5 line — leaning Over. Display only — not betting advice.
WSH lineup · K rate vs LHPExp PA
1James Wood (L)12.2%3.0 PA
2Curtis Mead (R)14.6%3.0 PA
3Andrés Chaparro (R)12.3%3.0 PA
4Dylan Crews (R)13.8%3.0 PA
5Jorbit Vivas (L)11.8%3.0 PA
6Jacob Young (R)12.9%2.7 PA
7Nasim Nuñez (R)13.6%2.0 PA
8José Tena (L)12.7%2.0 PA
9Keibert Ruiz (R)12.2%2.0 PA
PJ Poulin · LHP
Pitcher earned runs Rate8.9% Runs / BF
vs LHB10.8%
vs RHB8.2%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)4.7%
How often he gives up earned runs to the batters he faces, by hand.
Workload9.8 BF
Expected batters faced9.8
From recent starts8
How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.
Projection1.1 ER
Expected earned runs — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.
Earned Runs Line · O/U 0.5we lean Over
BookOverUnder
MGMBetMGM+100-135
We project 1.1 ER vs the 0.5 line — leaning Over. Display only — not betting advice.
PHI lineup · K rate vs LHPExp PA
1Trea Turner (R)16.3%1.8 PA
2Kyle Schwarber (L)14.8%1.0 PA
3Bryce Harper (L)10.8%1.0 PA
4Brandon Marsh (L)11.2%1.0 PA
5Alec Bohm (R)8.6%1.0 PA
6Bryson Stott (L)12.5%1.0 PA
7J.T. Realmuto (R)8.5%1.0 PA
8Gabriel Rincones Jr. (L)11.7%1.0 PA
9Justin Crawford (L)16.3%1.0 PA