‹ Earned Runs · Tuesday, June 23, 2026
HOU @ TOR Earned Runs matchups · Tuesday, June 23, 2026
HOU
Houston Astros
9–7
Final
TOR
Toronto Blue Jays
◆ Rogers CentreElevation 270 ftCenter Field 404 ft☀ 76°F Partly CloudyWind 14 mph, R To L
Peter Lambert · RHP
Pitcher earned runs Rate9.1% Runs / BF
vs LHB7.1%
vs RHB12.3%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)15.7%
How often he gives up earned runs to the batters he faces, by hand.
Workload24.1 BF
Expected batters faced24.1
From recent starts8
How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.
Projection2.7 ER
Expected earned runs — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.
Earned Runs Line · O/U 2.5we lean Over
BookOverUnder
MGMBetMGM-140+100
DKDraftKings-155+116
FANFanatics-140+100
We project 2.7 ER vs the 2.5 line — leaning Over. Display only — not betting advice.
TOR lineup · K rate vs RHPExp PA
1George Springer (R)13.1%3.0 PA
2Vladimir Guerrero Jr. (R)12.6%3.0 PA
3Jesús Sánchez (L)11.3%3.0 PA
4Kazuma Okamoto (R)13.3%3.0 PA
5Brandon Valenzuela (L)11.3%3.0 PA
6Daulton Varsho (L)13.4%3.0 PA
7Luis Urías (R)9.7%2.1 PA
8Myles Straw (R)19.7%2.0 PA
9Andrés Giménez (L)10.0%2.0 PA
Shane Bieber · RHP
Pitcher earned runs Rate10.2% Runs / BF
vs LHB5.7%
vs RHB15.0%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)13.6%
How often he gives up earned runs to the batters he faces, by hand.
Workload23.0 BF
Expected batters faced23.0
From recent starts0
How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.
Projection2.8 ER
Expected earned runs — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.
Earned Runs Line · O/U 2.5we lean Over
BookOverUnder
MGMBetMGM+105-145
BOVBovada+110-150
DKDraftKings+121-162
We project 2.8 ER vs the 2.5 line — leaning Over. Display only — not betting advice.
HOU lineup · K rate vs RHPExp PA
1Jose Altuve (R)11.6%3.0 PA
2Yordan Alvarez (L)15.7%3.0 PA
3Christian Walker (R)11.8%3.0 PA
4Isaac Paredes (R)10.7%3.0 PA
5Yainer Diaz (R)9.8%3.0 PA
6Cam Smith (R)10.4%2.0 PA
7Taylor Trammell (L)11.2%2.0 PA
8Brice Matthews (R)11.4%2.0 PA
9Raynel Delgado (L)11.7%2.0 PA