MatchWiz Plays
Earned Runs · Tuesday, June 23, 2026

KC @ TB Earned Runs matchups · Tuesday, June 23, 2026

KC
KC
Kansas City Royals
125
Final
TB
Tampa Bay Rays
TB
Tropicana FieldElevation 15 ftCenter Field 404 ft 72°F DomeWind 0 mph, None

KC Luinder Avila · RHP

Pitcher earned runs Rate14.4% Runs / BF

vs LHB17.0%
vs RHB8.8%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)6.6%

How often he gives up earned runs to the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload16.1 BF

Expected batters faced16.1
From recent starts8

How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.

Projection2.4 ER

Expected earned runs — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.

Earned Runs Line · O/U 1.5we lean Over

BookOverUnder
DKDraftKings-174+131

We project 2.4 ER vs the 1.5 line — leaning Over. Display only — not betting advice.

TB lineup · K rate vs RHPExp PA
1Yandy Díaz (R)11.4%2.0 PA
2Jonathan Aranda (L)12.3%2.0 PA
3Cedric Mullins (L)11.2%2.0 PA
4Junior Caminero (R)11.8%2.0 PA
5Richie Palacios (L)12.1%2.0 PA
6Jonny DeLuca (R)13.3%2.0 PA
7Chandler Simpson (L)11.7%2.0 PA
8Taylor Walls (L)12.5%1.1 PA
9Hunter Feduccia (L)12.4%1.0 PA

TB Shane McClanahan · LHP

Pitcher earned runs Rate10.3% Runs / BF

vs LHB9.4%
vs RHB10.8%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)14.4%

How often he gives up earned runs to the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload21.4 BF

Expected batters faced21.4
From recent starts8

How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.

Projection2.1 ER

Expected earned runs — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.

Earned Runs Line · O/U 1.5we lean Over

BookOverUnder
MGMBetMGM-118-115
DKDraftKings-132+100
FANFanatics-140+100

We project 2.1 ER vs the 1.5 line — leaning Over. Display only — not betting advice.

KC lineup · K rate vs LHPExp PA
1Lane Thomas (R)10.7%3.0 PA
2Nick Loftin (R)8.6%3.0 PA
3Jac Caglianone (L)10.1%3.0 PA
4Salvador Perez (R)11.7%2.4 PA
5Carter Jensen (L)12.6%2.0 PA
6Starling Marte (R)10.4%2.0 PA
7Michael Massey (L)13.1%2.0 PA
8Tyler Tolbert (R)11.8%2.0 PA
9Kameron Misner (L)10.7%2.0 PA