MatchWiz Plays
Earned Runs · Tuesday, June 23, 2026

AZ @ STL Earned Runs matchups · Tuesday, June 23, 2026

AZ
AZ
Arizona Diamondbacks
43
Final
STL
St. Louis Cardinals
STL
Busch StadiumElevation 460 ftCenter Field 400 ft 79°F Partly CloudyWind 6 mph, In From LF

AZ Eduardo Rodriguez · LHP

Pitcher earned runs Rate8.2% Runs / BF

vs LHB10.4%
vs RHB7.9%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)8.1%

How often he gives up earned runs to the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload23.9 BF

Expected batters faced23.9
From recent starts8

How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.

Projection2.2 ER

Expected earned runs — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.

Earned Runs Line · O/U 2.5we lean Under

BookOverUnder
MGMBetMGM-125-110
DKDraftKings-117-114
FANFanatics-130-110

We project 2.2 ER vs the 2.5 line — leaning Under. Display only — not betting advice.

STL lineup · K rate vs LHPExp PA
1JJ Wetherholt (L)10.6%3.0 PA
2Iván Herrera (R)14.4%3.0 PA
3Jordan Walker (R)13.8%3.0 PA
4Lars Nootbaar (L)11.7%3.0 PA
5Nelson Velázquez (R)11.5%3.0 PA
6José Fermín (R)12.0%2.9 PA
7Alec Burleson (L)9.6%2.0 PA
8Blaze Jordan (R)11.7%2.0 PA
9Pedro Pagés (R)9.3%2.0 PA

STL Kyle Leahy · RHP

Pitcher earned runs Rate11.6% Runs / BF

vs LHB11.4%
vs RHB11.3%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)12.9%

How often he gives up earned runs to the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload22.7 BF

Expected batters faced22.7
From recent starts8

How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.

Projection2.7 ER

Expected earned runs — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.

Earned Runs Line · O/U 2.5we lean Over

BookOverUnder
MGMBetMGM+105-145
DKDraftKings+110-146

We project 2.7 ER vs the 2.5 line — leaning Over. Display only — not betting advice.

AZ lineup · K rate vs RHPExp PA
1Ketel Marte (L)10.6%3.0 PA
2Geraldo Perdomo (L)12.4%3.0 PA
3Corbin Carroll (L)14.8%3.0 PA
4Gabriel Moreno (R)11.0%3.0 PA
5Pavin Smith (L)10.2%2.7 PA
6Nolan Arenado (R)10.1%2.0 PA
7Lourdes Gurriel Jr. (R)9.4%2.0 PA
8LuJames Groover (R)11.7%2.0 PA
9Tommy Troy (R)12.7%2.0 PA