‹ Earned Runs · Tuesday, June 23, 2026
ATL @ SD Earned Runs matchups · Tuesday, June 23, 2026
ATL
Atlanta Braves
6–7
Final
SD
San Diego Padres
◆ Petco ParkElevation 23 ftCenter Field 396 ft☀ 70°F Partly CloudyWind 7 mph, L To R
JR Ritchie · RHP
Pitcher earned runs Rate11.5% Runs / BF
vs LHB13.5%
vs RHB8.2%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)10.1%
How often he gives up earned runs to the batters he faces, by hand.
Workload22.3 BF
Expected batters faced22.3
From recent starts7
How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.
Projection2.5 ER
Expected earned runs — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.
Earned Runs Line · O/U 2.5we lean Over
BookOverUnder
MGMBetMGM+110-150
BOVBovada+110-150
DKDraftKings+122-163
FANFanatics+110-155
We project 2.5 ER vs the 2.5 line — leaning Over. Display only — not betting advice.
SD lineup · K rate vs RHPExp PA
1Fernando Tatis Jr. (R)12.4%3.0 PA
2Samad Taylor (R)15.2%3.0 PA
3Jackson Merrill (L)12.1%3.0 PA
4Manny Machado (R)11.7%3.0 PA
5Gavin Sheets (L)12.9%2.3 PA
6Xander Bogaerts (R)11.8%2.0 PA
7Will Wagner (L)10.8%2.0 PA
8Rodolfo Durán (R)11.7%2.0 PA
9Sung-Mun Song (L)11.2%2.0 PA
Wandy Peralta · LHP
Pitcher earned runs Rate6.7% Runs / BF
vs LHB8.1%
vs RHB7.2%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)6.6%
How often he gives up earned runs to the batters he faces, by hand.
Workload9.9 BF
Expected batters faced9.9
From recent starts8
How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.
Projection0.8 ER
Expected earned runs — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.
ATL lineup · K rate vs LHPExp PA
1Michael Harris II (L)11.9%1.9 PA
2Ozzie Albies (R)11.4%1.0 PA
3Matt Olson (L)14.4%1.0 PA
4Dominic Smith (L)11.3%1.0 PA
5Mauricio Dubón (R)10.6%1.0 PA
6Drake Baldwin (L)13.4%1.0 PA
7Austin Riley (R)10.2%1.0 PA
8Rowdy Tellez (L)11.7%1.0 PA
9Mike Yastrzemski (L)12.5%1.0 PA