SEA @ PIT Earned Runs matchups · Tuesday, June 23, 2026

SEA

Seattle Mariners

3–2

Final

PIT

Pittsburgh Pirates

◆ PNC ParkElevation 780 ftCenter Field 399 ft☀ 73°F ClearWind 11 mph, Calm

George Kirby · RHP

Pitcher earned runs Rate10.9% Runs / BF

vs LHB10.9%

vs RHB10.9%

K-BB% (command-adj. skill)19.7%

How often he gives up earned runs to the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload24.2 BF

Expected batters faced24.2

From recent starts8

How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.

Projection2.9 ER

Expected earned runs — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.

Earned Runs Line · O/U 2.5we lean Over

BookOverUnder

MGMBetMGM+105-145

DKDraftKings-109-122

We project 2.9 ER vs the 2.5 line — leaning Over. Display only — not betting advice.

PIT lineup · K rate vs RHPExp PA

1Spencer Horwitz (L)13.7%3.0 PA

2Brandon Lowe (L)13.8%3.0 PA

3Bryan Reynolds (L)14.3%3.0 PA

4Nick Gonzales (R)12.2%3.0 PA

5Ryan O'Hearn (L)10.6%3.0 PA

6Endy Rodríguez (L)12.2%3.0 PA

7Marcell Ozuna (R)10.4%2.2 PA

8Jake Mangum (L)10.7%2.0 PA

9Jared Triolo (R)10.1%2.0 PA

Mitch Keller · RHP

Pitcher earned runs Rate12.1% Runs / BF

vs LHB14.0%

vs RHB9.1%

K-BB% (command-adj. skill)11.1%

How often he gives up earned runs to the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload23.5 BF

Expected batters faced23.5

From recent starts8

How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.

Projection3.1 ER

Expected earned runs — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.

Earned Runs Line · O/U 2.5we lean Over

BookOverUnder

MGMBetMGM-135-105

DKDraftKings-119-111

FANFanatics-140+100

We project 3.1 ER vs the 2.5 line — leaning Over. Display only — not betting advice.

SEA lineup · K rate vs RHPExp PA

1J.P. Crawford (L)11.4%3.0 PA

2Cal Raleigh (L)11.3%3.0 PA

3Julio Rodríguez (R)12.9%3.0 PA

4Josh Naylor (L)11.3%3.0 PA

5Randy Arozarena (R)14.0%3.0 PA

6Luke Raley (L)11.5%2.5 PA

7Cole Young (L)11.9%2.0 PA

8Victor Robles (R)11.1%2.0 PA

9Colt Emerson (L)12.9%2.0 PA