CHC @ NYM Earned Runs matchups · Tuesday, June 23, 2026

CHC

Chicago Cubs

9–6

Final

NYM

New York Mets

◆ Citi FieldElevation 10 ftCenter Field 408 ft☀ 68°F CloudyWind 4 mph, In From LF

Edward Cabrera · RHP

Pitcher earned runs Rate12.9% Runs / BF

vs LHB11.4%

vs RHB13.7%

K-BB% (command-adj. skill)16.6%

How often he gives up earned runs to the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload21.5 BF

Expected batters faced21.5

From recent starts8

How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.

Projection2.7 ER

Expected earned runs — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.

Earned Runs Line · O/U 2.5we lean Over

BookOverUnder

MGMBetMGM+105-145

BOVBovada+125-165

FANFanatics+105-150

We project 2.7 ER vs the 2.5 line — leaning Over. Display only — not betting advice.

NYM lineup · K rate vs RHPExp PA

1Carson Benge (L)14.1%3.0 PA

2Bo Bichette (R)11.3%3.0 PA

3Juan Soto (L)13.4%3.0 PA

4Jared Young (L)11.4%2.5 PA

5A.J. Ewing (L)11.9%2.0 PA

6Marcus Semien (R)9.8%2.0 PA

7Brett Baty (L)9.0%2.0 PA

8MJ Melendez (L)11.2%2.0 PA

9Francisco Alvarez (R)10.0%2.0 PA

Kodai Senga · RHP

Pitcher earned runs Rate15.1% Runs / BF

vs LHB12.5%

vs RHB15.1%

K-BB% (command-adj. skill)13.6%

How often he gives up earned runs to the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload20.3 BF

Expected batters faced20.3

From recent starts6

How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.

Projection3.1 ER

Expected earned runs — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.

Earned Runs Line · O/U 2.5we lean Over

BookOverUnder

BOVBovada+135-175

DKDraftKings+127-169

We project 3.1 ER vs the 2.5 line — leaning Over. Display only — not betting advice.

CHC lineup · K rate vs RHPExp PA

1Pete Crow-Armstrong (L)15.6%3.0 PA

2Alex Bregman (R)11.0%3.0 PA

3Michael Busch (L)10.6%2.3 PA

4Seiya Suzuki (R)11.9%2.0 PA

5Ian Happ (L)15.1%2.0 PA

6Matt Shaw (R)12.5%2.0 PA

7Nico Hoerner (R)8.6%2.0 PA

8Carson Kelly (R)11.5%2.0 PA

9Dansby Swanson (R)14.0%2.0 PA