BOS @ COL Earned Runs matchups · Tuesday, June 23, 2026

BOS

Boston Red Sox

5–2

Final

COL

Colorado Rockies

◆ Coors FieldElevation 5,190 ftCenter Field 415 ft☀ 81°F Partly CloudyWind 9 mph, In From CF

Sonny Gray · RHP

Pitcher earned runs Rate9.5% Runs / BF

vs LHB9.7%

vs RHB9.8%

K-BB% (command-adj. skill)14.9%

How often he gives up earned runs to the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload23.0 BF

Expected batters faced23.0

From recent starts8

How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.

Projection2.5 ER

Expected earned runs — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.

Earned Runs Line · O/U 2.5we lean Over

BookOverUnder

MGMBetMGM-105-135

DKDraftKings-112-118

FANFanatics-105-135

We project 2.5 ER vs the 2.5 line — leaning Over. Display only — not betting advice.

COL lineup · K rate vs RHPExp PA

1Jake McCarthy (L)13.7%3.0 PA

2Mickey Moniak (L)11.7%3.0 PA

3Hunter Goodman (R)13.9%3.0 PA

4TJ Rumfield (L)13.9%3.0 PA

5Tyler Freeman (R)12.4%3.0 PA

6Willi Castro (L)13.2%2.0 PA

7Troy Johnston (L)11.7%2.0 PA

8Ezequiel Tovar (R)10.8%2.0 PA

9Edouard Julien (L)10.5%2.0 PA

Sean Sullivan · LHP

Pitcher earned runs Rate10.8% Runs / BF

vs LHB10.8%

vs RHB10.8%

K-BB% (command-adj. skill)13.0%

How often he gives up earned runs to the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload20.8 BF

Expected batters faced20.8

From recent starts2

How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.

Projection2.5 ER

Expected earned runs — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.

Earned Runs Line · O/U 3.5we lean Under

BookOverUnder

MGMBetMGM+100-140

We project 2.5 ER vs the 3.5 line — leaning Under. Display only — not betting advice.

BOS lineup · K rate vs LHPExp PA

1Nate Eaton (R)11.6%3.0 PA

2Ceddanne Rafaela (R)14.0%3.0 PA

3Wilyer Abreu (L)13.2%2.8 PA

4Willson Contreras (R)13.9%2.0 PA

5Jarren Duran (L)12.7%2.0 PA

6Caleb Durbin (R)10.7%2.0 PA

7Andruw Monasterio (R)11.7%2.0 PA

8Connor Wong (R)12.9%2.0 PA

9Anthony Seigler (R)10.8%2.0 PA