‹ Earned Runs · Tuesday, June 23, 2026
MIL @ CIN Earned Runs matchups · Tuesday, June 23, 2026
MIL
Milwaukee Brewers
2–0
Final
CIN
Cincinnati Reds
◆ Great American Ball ParkElevation 535 ftCenter Field 404 ft☀ 77°F Partly CloudyWind 6 mph, Out To RF
Brandon Sproat · RHP
Pitcher earned runs Rate13.6% Runs / BF
vs LHB14.0%
vs RHB12.3%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)13.9%
How often he gives up earned runs to the batters he faces, by hand.
Workload20.9 BF
Expected batters faced20.9
From recent starts8
How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.
Projection3.0 ER
Expected earned runs — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.
Earned Runs Line · O/U 2.5we lean Over
BookOverUnder
MGMBetMGM+100-140
DKDraftKings+104-138
FANFanatics+100-140
We project 3.0 ER vs the 2.5 line — leaning Over. Display only — not betting advice.
CIN lineup · K rate vs RHPExp PA
1Blake Dunn (R)11.7%3.0 PA
2Elly De La Cruz (L)15.6%3.0 PA
3JJ Bleday (L)14.4%2.9 PA
4Sal Stewart (R)11.5%2.0 PA
5Nathaniel Lowe (L)10.8%2.0 PA
6Eugenio Suárez (R)10.4%2.0 PA
7Noelvi Marte (R)10.3%2.0 PA
8Jose Trevino (R)10.1%2.0 PA
9Edwin Arroyo (L)11.7%2.0 PA
Nick Lodolo · LHP
Pitcher earned runs Rate13.7% Runs / BF
vs LHB12.3%
vs RHB13.4%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)12.0%
How often he gives up earned runs to the batters he faces, by hand.
Workload24.1 BF
Expected batters faced24.1
From recent starts8
How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.
Projection3.5 ER
Expected earned runs — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.
Earned Runs Line · O/U 2.5we lean Over
BookOverUnder
MGMBetMGM-135+100
DKDraftKings-133+100
We project 3.5 ER vs the 2.5 line — leaning Over. Display only — not betting advice.
MIL lineup · K rate vs LHPExp PA
1Jackson Chourio (R)15.0%3.0 PA
2Brice Turang (L)11.1%3.0 PA
3William Contreras (R)14.2%3.0 PA
4Andrew Vaughn (R)13.5%3.0 PA
5Jake Bauers (L)9.8%3.0 PA
6Gary Sánchez (R)13.8%3.0 PA
7Blake Perkins (R)12.6%2.1 PA
8Cooper Pratt (R)11.7%2.0 PA
9Joey Ortiz (R)9.2%2.0 PA