‹ Earned Runs · Wednesday, June 24, 2026
PHI @ WSH Earned Runs matchups · Wednesday, June 24, 2026
PHI
Philadelphia Phillies
5–4
Final
WSH
Washington Nationals
◆ Nationals ParkElevation 35 ftCenter Field 402 ft☀ 83°F ClearWind 4 mph, In From LF
Aaron Nola · RHP
Pitcher earned runs Rate12.6% Runs / BF
vs LHB13.2%
vs RHB11.6%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)18.1%
How often he gives up earned runs to the batters he faces, by hand.
Workload21.9 BF
Expected batters faced21.9
From recent starts8
How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.
Projection3.4 ER
Expected earned runs — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.
Earned Runs Line · O/U 2.5we lean Over
BookOverUnder
MGMBetMGM-130-105
DKDraftKings-127-105
FANFanatics-130-110
We project 3.4 ER vs the 2.5 line — leaning Over. Display only — not betting advice.
WSH lineup · K rate vs RHPExp PA
1James Wood (L)17.9%3.0 PA
2Luis García Jr. (L)14.5%3.0 PA
3José Tena (L)11.3%3.0 PA
4CJ Abrams (L)15.5%2.9 PA
5Daylen Lile (L)11.7%2.0 PA
6Dylan Crews (R)11.7%2.0 PA
7Jorbit Vivas (L)11.5%2.0 PA
8Drew Millas (L)11.7%2.0 PA
9Nasim Nuñez (L)11.9%2.0 PA
Carson Palmquist · LHP
Pitcher earned runs Rate10.8% Runs / BF
vs LHB10.8%
vs RHB10.8%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)13.0%
How often he gives up earned runs to the batters he faces, by hand.
Workload23.0 BF
Expected batters faced23.0
From recent starts0
How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.
Projection2.5 ER
Expected earned runs — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.
PHI lineup · K rate vs LHPExp PA
1Trea Turner (R)15.0%3.0 PA
2Brandon Marsh (L)11.2%3.0 PA
3Bryce Harper (L)9.6%3.0 PA
4Alec Bohm (R)8.3%3.0 PA
5Bryson Stott (L)11.5%3.0 PA
6J.T. Realmuto (R)8.5%2.0 PA
7Gabriel Rincones Jr. (L)11.7%2.0 PA
8Edmundo Sosa (R)11.7%2.0 PA
9Justin Crawford (L)16.3%2.0 PA