‹ Earned Runs · Wednesday, June 24, 2026
HOU @ TOR Earned Runs matchups · Wednesday, June 24, 2026
HOU
Houston Astros
3–1
Final
TOR
Toronto Blue Jays
◆ Rogers CentreElevation 270 ftCenter Field 404 ft☀ 60°F CloudyWind 6 mph, Out To RF
Mike Burrows · RHP
Pitcher earned runs Rate12.9% Runs / BF
vs LHB15.2%
vs RHB9.4%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)16.5%
How often he gives up earned runs to the batters he faces, by hand.
Workload23.1 BF
Expected batters faced23.1
From recent starts8
How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.
Projection2.9 ER
Expected earned runs — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.
Earned Runs Line · O/U 2.5we lean Over
BookOverUnder
MGMBetMGM-130-105
DKDraftKings-138+104
We project 2.9 ER vs the 2.5 line — leaning Over. Display only — not betting advice.
TOR lineup · K rate vs RHPExp PA
1George Springer (R)13.9%3.0 PA
2Nathan Lukes (L)11.3%3.0 PA
3Vladimir Guerrero Jr. (R)13.2%3.0 PA
4Kazuma Okamoto (R)13.5%3.0 PA
5Daulton Varsho (L)14.0%3.0 PA
6Alejandro Kirk (R)8.3%2.1 PA
7Davis Schneider (R)12.1%2.0 PA
8Andrés Giménez (L)9.9%2.0 PA
9Luis Urías (R)12.3%2.0 PA
Trey Yesavage · RHP
Pitcher earned runs Rate11.3% Runs / BF
vs LHB10.9%
vs RHB11.3%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)14.6%
How often he gives up earned runs to the batters he faces, by hand.
Workload23.0 BF
Expected batters faced23.0
From recent starts8
How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.
Projection2.8 ER
Expected earned runs — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.
Earned Runs Line · O/U 2.5we lean Over
BookOverUnder
MGMBetMGM+115-160
DKDraftKings+102-136
FANFanatics+115-165
We project 2.8 ER vs the 2.5 line — leaning Over. Display only — not betting advice.
HOU lineup · K rate vs RHPExp PA
1Jose Altuve (R)13.0%3.0 PA
2Yordan Alvarez (L)16.4%3.0 PA
3Jeremy Peña (R)14.7%3.0 PA
4Isaac Paredes (R)9.9%3.0 PA
5Joey Loperfido (L)12.6%3.0 PA
6Yainer Diaz (R)9.8%2.0 PA
7Cam Smith (R)10.8%2.0 PA
8Brice Matthews (R)10.3%2.0 PA
9Raynel Delgado (L)9.3%2.0 PA