MatchWiz Plays
Earned Runs · Wednesday, June 24, 2026

KC @ TB Earned Runs matchups · Wednesday, June 24, 2026

KC
KC
Kansas City Royals
35
Final
TB
Tampa Bay Rays
TB
Tropicana FieldElevation 15 ftCenter Field 404 ft 72°F DomeWind 0 mph, None

KC Noah Cameron · LHP

Pitcher earned runs Rate11.2% Runs / BF

vs LHB12.1%
vs RHB10.8%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)13.8%

How often he gives up earned runs to the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload22.5 BF

Expected batters faced22.5
From recent starts8

How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.

Projection2.5 ER

Expected earned runs — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.

Earned Runs Line · O/U 2.5we lean Under

BookOverUnder
MGMBetMGM-105-135
DKDraftKings+100-133
FANFanatics-105-135

We project 2.5 ER vs the 2.5 line — leaning Under. Display only — not betting advice.

TB lineup · K rate vs LHPExp PA
1Yandy Díaz (R)12.3%3.0 PA
2Jonny DeLuca (R)11.9%3.0 PA
3Junior Caminero (R)12.3%3.0 PA
4Ryan Vilade (R)10.7%3.0 PA
5Jonathan Aranda (L)9.8%2.5 PA
6Ben Williamson (R)11.7%2.0 PA
7Taylor Walls (R)10.4%2.0 PA
8Chandler Simpson (L)9.6%2.0 PA
9Nick Fortes (R)11.7%2.0 PA

TB Griffin Jax · RHP

Pitcher earned runs Rate9.4% Runs / BF

vs LHB10.5%
vs RHB8.9%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)16.4%

How often he gives up earned runs to the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload19.0 BF

Expected batters faced19.0
From recent starts8

How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.

Projection2.2 ER

Expected earned runs — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.

Earned Runs Line · O/U 1.5we lean Over

BookOverUnder
MGMBetMGM-120-110
DKDraftKings-125-106

We project 2.2 ER vs the 1.5 line — leaning Over. Display only — not betting advice.

KC lineup · K rate vs RHPExp PA
1Carter Jensen (L)14.0%3.0 PA
2Nick Loftin (R)14.0%2.0 PA
3Jac Caglianone (L)15.5%2.0 PA
4Salvador Perez (R)9.3%2.0 PA
5Michael Massey (L)11.4%2.0 PA
6Isaac Collins (L)11.7%2.0 PA
7John Rave (L)12.6%2.0 PA
8Kameron Misner (L)10.4%2.0 PA
9Tyler Tolbert (R)18.9%2.0 PA