‹ Earned Runs · Wednesday, June 24, 2026
AZ @ STL Earned Runs matchups · Wednesday, June 24, 2026
AZ
Arizona Diamondbacks
9–4
Final
STL
St. Louis Cardinals
◆ Busch StadiumElevation 460 ftCenter Field 400 ft☀ 80°F CloudyWind 6 mph, Out To CF
Mitch Bratt · LHP
Pitcher earned runs Rate10.8% Runs / BF
vs LHB10.8%
vs RHB10.8%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)13.0%
How often he gives up earned runs to the batters he faces, by hand.
Workload23.0 BF
Expected batters faced23.0
From recent starts0
How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.
Projection2.6 ER
Expected earned runs — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.
STL lineup · K rate vs LHPExp PA
1JJ Wetherholt (L)10.3%3.0 PA
2Iván Herrera (R)14.1%3.0 PA
3Jordan Walker (R)13.5%3.0 PA
4Nelson Velázquez (R)11.1%3.0 PA
5José Fermín (R)11.1%3.0 PA
6Masyn Winn (R)12.4%2.0 PA
7Lars Nootbaar (L)11.3%2.0 PA
8Blaze Jordan (R)11.7%2.0 PA
9Pedro Pagés (R)9.1%2.0 PA
Matthew Liberatore · LHP
Pitcher earned runs Rate14.3% Runs / BF
vs LHB15.9%
vs RHB12.3%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)11.6%
How often he gives up earned runs to the batters he faces, by hand.
Workload21.0 BF
Expected batters faced21.0
From recent starts8
How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.
Projection3.1 ER
Expected earned runs — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.
Earned Runs Line · O/U 2.5we lean Over
BookOverUnder
MGMBetMGM-120-115
DKDraftKings-119-111
We project 3.1 ER vs the 2.5 line — leaning Over. Display only — not betting advice.
AZ lineup · K rate vs LHPExp PA
1Ketel Marte (R)14.3%3.0 PA
2Geraldo Perdomo (R)11.7%3.0 PA
3Corbin Carroll (L)12.1%3.0 PA
4Gabriel Moreno (R)12.9%2.0 PA
5Nolan Arenado (R)12.6%2.0 PA
6Tommy Troy (R)16.3%2.0 PA
7Lourdes Gurriel Jr. (R)10.8%2.0 PA
8Ildemaro Vargas (R)13.3%2.0 PA
9LuJames Groover (R)11.7%2.0 PA