‹ Earned Runs · Wednesday, June 24, 2026
ATL @ SD Earned Runs matchups · Wednesday, June 24, 2026
ATL
Atlanta Braves
2–5
Final
SD
San Diego Padres
◆ Petco ParkElevation 23 ftCenter Field 396 ft☀ 71°F Partly CloudyWind 10 mph, L To R
Martín Pérez · LHP
Pitcher earned runs Rate8.4% Runs / BF
vs LHB8.9%
vs RHB8.8%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)11.5%
How often he gives up earned runs to the batters he faces, by hand.
Workload18.6 BF
Expected batters faced18.6
From recent starts8
How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.
Projection1.6 ER
Expected earned runs — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.
Earned Runs Line · O/U 2.5we lean Under
BookOverUnder
MGMBetMGM+115-155
DKDraftKings+113-151
FANFanatics+110-155
We project 1.6 ER vs the 2.5 line — leaning Under. Display only — not betting advice.
SD lineup · K rate vs LHPExp PA
1Fernando Tatis Jr. (R)11.6%2.6 PA
2Samad Taylor (R)13.9%2.0 PA
3Manny Machado (R)12.1%2.0 PA
4Xander Bogaerts (R)10.2%2.0 PA
5Jackson Merrill (L)9.9%2.0 PA
6Miguel Andujar (R)9.1%2.0 PA
7Ty France (R)9.9%2.0 PA
8Freddy Fermin (R)11.7%2.0 PA
9Jase Bowen (R)11.7%2.0 PA
JP Sears · LHP
Pitcher earned runs Rate11.9% Runs / BF
vs LHB8.9%
vs RHB12.6%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)13.4%
How often he gives up earned runs to the batters he faces, by hand.
Workload23.0 BF
Expected batters faced23.0
From recent starts0
How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.
Projection2.7 ER
Expected earned runs — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.
Earned Runs Line · O/U 2.5we lean Over
BookOverUnder
MGMBetMGM-135-105
DKDraftKings-133+100
We project 2.7 ER vs the 2.5 line — leaning Over. Display only — not betting advice.
ATL lineup · K rate vs LHPExp PA
1Mauricio Dubón (R)11.3%3.0 PA
2Michael Harris II (L)12.4%3.0 PA
3Ozzie Albies (R)11.1%3.0 PA
4Matt Olson (L)13.8%3.0 PA
5Austin Riley (R)9.9%3.0 PA
6Eli White (R)11.0%2.0 PA
7Joey Bart (R)11.7%2.0 PA
8Jorge Mateo (R)13.2%2.0 PA
9Ha-Seong Kim (R)9.6%2.0 PA