MatchWiz Plays
Earned Runs · Wednesday, June 24, 2026

SEA @ PIT Earned Runs matchups · Wednesday, June 24, 2026

SEA
SEA
Seattle Mariners
111
Final
PIT
Pittsburgh Pirates
PIT
PNC ParkElevation 780 ftCenter Field 399 ft 78°F ClearWind 7 mph, Out To LF

SEA Bryan Woo · RHP

Pitcher earned runs Rate11.2% Runs / BF

vs LHB11.0%
vs RHB11.1%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)19.4%

How often he gives up earned runs to the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload23.4 BF

Expected batters faced23.4
From recent starts8

How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.

Projection2.8 ER

Expected earned runs — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.

Earned Runs Line · O/U 2.5we lean Over

BookOverUnder
MGMBetMGM+100-135
DKDraftKings+105-139
FANFanatics-105-135

We project 2.8 ER vs the 2.5 line — leaning Over. Display only — not betting advice.

PIT lineup · K rate vs RHPExp PA
1Spencer Horwitz (L)13.2%3.0 PA
2Brandon Lowe (L)14.1%3.0 PA
3Bryan Reynolds (L)14.2%3.0 PA
4Nick Gonzales (R)12.1%3.0 PA
5Ryan O'Hearn (L)10.5%3.0 PA
6Endy Rodríguez (L)12.8%2.4 PA
7Tyler Callihan (L)12.8%2.0 PA
8Jake Mangum (L)10.6%2.0 PA
9Jared Triolo (R)9.7%2.0 PA

PIT Braxton Ashcraft · RHP

Pitcher earned runs Rate8.7% Runs / BF

vs LHB9.0%
vs RHB9.2%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)14.1%

How often he gives up earned runs to the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload24.8 BF

Expected batters faced24.8
From recent starts8

How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.

Projection2.5 ER

Expected earned runs — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.

Earned Runs Line · O/U 2.5we lean Under

BookOverUnder
MGMBetMGM+125-165
DKDraftKings+123-164

We project 2.5 ER vs the 2.5 line — leaning Under. Display only — not betting advice.

SEA lineup · K rate vs RHPExp PA
1J.P. Crawford (L)11.1%3.0 PA
2Cal Raleigh (L)11.9%3.0 PA
3Julio Rodríguez (R)12.0%3.0 PA
4Josh Naylor (L)10.6%3.0 PA
5Randy Arozarena (R)14.2%3.0 PA
6Dominic Canzone (L)13.9%3.0 PA
7Luke Raley (L)12.2%2.8 PA
8Cole Young (L)12.3%2.0 PA
9Colt Emerson (L)12.2%2.0 PA