‹ Earned Runs · Wednesday, June 24, 2026
CHC @ NYM Earned Runs matchups · Wednesday, June 24, 2026
CHC
Chicago Cubs
10–5
Final
NYM
New York Mets
◆ Citi FieldElevation 10 ftCenter Field 408 ft☀ 81°F ClearWind 6 mph, L To R
Shota Imanaga · LHP
Pitcher earned runs Rate9.7% Runs / BF
vs LHB12.2%
vs RHB9.0%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)15.8%
How often he gives up earned runs to the batters he faces, by hand.
Workload23.5 BF
Expected batters faced23.5
From recent starts8
How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.
Projection2.4 ER
Expected earned runs — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.
Earned Runs Line · O/U 2.5we lean Under
BookOverUnder
MGMBetMGM+100-135
DKDraftKings+104-137
We project 2.4 ER vs the 2.5 line — leaning Under. Display only — not betting advice.
NYM lineup · K rate vs LHPExp PA
1Carson Benge (L)13.6%3.0 PA
2Francisco Lindor (R)12.0%3.0 PA
3Bo Bichette (R)14.4%3.0 PA
4Mark Vientos (R)12.1%3.0 PA
5Marcus Semien (R)11.2%3.0 PA
6Francisco Alvarez (R)9.8%2.5 PA
7Eric Wagaman (R)10.4%2.0 PA
8A.J. Ewing (L)7.6%2.0 PA
9Brett Baty (L)12.5%2.0 PA
Sean Manaea · LHP
Pitcher earned runs Rate10.9% Runs / BF
vs LHB9.2%
vs RHB12.3%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)12.1%
How often he gives up earned runs to the batters he faces, by hand.
Workload18.0 BF
Expected batters faced18.0
From recent starts8
How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.
Projection2.3 ER
Expected earned runs — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.
Earned Runs Line · O/U 2.5we lean Under
BookOverUnder
MGMBetMGM-105-130
DKDraftKings+128-170
FANFanatics-105-135
We project 2.3 ER vs the 2.5 line — leaning Under. Display only — not betting advice.
CHC lineup · K rate vs LHPExp PA
1Pete Crow-Armstrong (L)10.7%2.0 PA
2Matt Shaw (R)13.2%2.0 PA
3Seiya Suzuki (R)13.3%2.0 PA
4Alex Bregman (R)12.5%2.0 PA
5Michael Busch (L)9.4%2.0 PA
6Nico Hoerner (R)11.7%2.0 PA
7Carson Kelly (R)15.0%2.0 PA
8Pedro Ramírez (R)11.7%2.0 PA
9Dansby Swanson (R)14.5%2.0 PA