‹ Earned Runs · Wednesday, June 24, 2026
CHC @ NYM Earned Runs matchups · Wednesday, June 24, 2026
CHC
Chicago Cubs
10–3
Final
NYM
New York Mets
◆ Citi FieldElevation 10 ftCenter Field 408 ft☀ 81°F SunnyWind 9 mph, L To R
Javier Assad · RHP
Pitcher earned runs Rate10.0% Runs / BF
vs LHB12.0%
vs RHB8.6%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)10.6%
How often he gives up earned runs to the batters he faces, by hand.
Workload16.0 BF
Expected batters faced16.0
From recent starts8
How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.
Projection1.7 ER
Expected earned runs — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.
Earned Runs Line · O/U 2.5we lean Under
BookOverUnder
MGMBetMGM+100-135
DKDraftKings+110-146
We project 1.7 ER vs the 2.5 line — leaning Under. Display only — not betting advice.
NYM lineup · K rate vs RHPExp PA
1Carson Benge (L)13.7%2.0 PA
2A.J. Ewing (L)11.9%2.0 PA
3Bo Bichette (R)11.8%2.0 PA
4Jared Young (L)11.3%2.0 PA
5Francisco Alvarez (R)10.4%2.0 PA
6Brett Baty (L)9.8%2.0 PA
7Marcus Semien (R)9.9%2.0 PA
8MJ Melendez (L)11.0%1.0 PA
9Luis Torrens (R)10.6%1.0 PA
Nolan McLean · RHP
Pitcher earned runs Rate9.0% Runs / BF
vs LHB9.5%
vs RHB9.4%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)19.0%
How often he gives up earned runs to the batters he faces, by hand.
Workload23.6 BF
Expected batters faced23.6
From recent starts8
How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.
Projection2.5 ER
Expected earned runs — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.
Earned Runs Line · O/U 2.5we lean Over
BookOverUnder
MGMBetMGM+105-145
DKDraftKings+123-164
We project 2.5 ER vs the 2.5 line — leaning Over. Display only — not betting advice.
CHC lineup · K rate vs RHPExp PA
1Pete Crow-Armstrong (L)16.0%3.0 PA
2Michael Conforto (L)10.3%3.0 PA
3Michael Busch (L)10.6%3.0 PA
4Seiya Suzuki (R)12.5%3.0 PA
5Ian Happ (L)15.6%3.0 PA
6Nico Hoerner (R)9.1%2.6 PA
7Pedro Ramírez (L)11.7%2.0 PA
8Miguel Amaya (R)11.9%2.0 PA
9Dansby Swanson (R)14.3%2.0 PA