MatchWiz Plays
Earned Runs · Wednesday, June 24, 2026

TEX @ MIA Earned Runs matchups · Wednesday, June 24, 2026

TEX
TEX
Texas Rangers
24
Final
MIA
Miami Marlins
MIA
loanDepot parkElevation 10 ftCenter Field 407 ft 72°F Roof ClosedWind 0 mph, None

TEX Jacob deGrom · RHP

Pitcher earned runs Rate11.0% Runs / BF

vs LHB11.1%
vs RHB10.2%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)19.4%

How often he gives up earned runs to the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload22.8 BF

Expected batters faced22.8
From recent starts8

How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.

Projection2.6 ER

Expected earned runs — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.

Earned Runs Line · O/U 1.5we lean Over

BookOverUnder
MGMBetMGM-160+120
DKDraftKings-155+116
FANFanatics-165+115

We project 2.6 ER vs the 1.5 line — leaning Over. Display only — not betting advice.

MIA lineup · K rate vs RHPExp PA
1Xavier Edwards (L)10.7%3.0 PA
2Otto Lopez (R)15.0%3.0 PA
3Kyle Stowers (L)12.0%3.0 PA
4Heriberto Hernández (R)12.7%3.0 PA
5Griffin Conine (L)12.5%2.8 PA
6Jakob Marsee (L)10.2%2.0 PA
7Owen Caissie (L)11.8%2.0 PA
8Leo Jiménez (R)9.6%2.0 PA
9Brian Navarreto (R)11.8%2.0 PA

MIA Eury Pérez · RHP

Pitcher earned runs Rate11.8% Runs / BF

vs LHB9.8%
vs RHB14.0%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)14.9%

How often he gives up earned runs to the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload22.1 BF

Expected batters faced22.1
From recent starts8

How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.

Projection2.8 ER

Expected earned runs — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.

Earned Runs Line · O/U 1.5we lean Over

BookOverUnder
MGMBetMGM+105-145
BOVBovada+105-145
DKDraftKings+110-146

We project 2.8 ER vs the 1.5 line — leaning Over. Display only — not betting advice.

TEX lineup · K rate vs RHPExp PA
1Joc Pederson (L)11.5%3.0 PA
2Wyatt Langford (R)12.7%3.0 PA
3Josh Jung (R)10.4%3.0 PA
4Brandon Nimmo (L)11.2%3.0 PA
5Jake Burger (R)11.5%2.1 PA
6Ezequiel Duran (R)12.5%2.0 PA
7Alejandro Osuna (L)10.7%2.0 PA
8Elias Díaz (R)13.0%2.0 PA
9Nicky Lopez (L)10.1%2.0 PA