MatchWiz Plays
Earned Runs · Wednesday, June 24, 2026

MIL @ CIN Earned Runs matchups · Wednesday, June 24, 2026

MIL
MIL
Milwaukee Brewers
65
Final
CIN
Cincinnati Reds
CIN
Great American Ball ParkElevation 535 ftCenter Field 404 ft 79°F Partly CloudyWind 3 mph, Out To LF

MIL Shane Drohan · LHP

Pitcher earned runs Rate10.8% Runs / BF

vs LHB10.8%
vs RHB10.8%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)13.0%

How often he gives up earned runs to the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload17.8 BF

Expected batters faced17.8
From recent starts8

How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.

Projection2.2 ER

Expected earned runs — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.

Earned Runs Line · O/U 2.5we lean Under

BookOverUnder
MGMBetMGM+120-160
DKDraftKings+101-133

We project 2.2 ER vs the 2.5 line — leaning Under. Display only — not betting advice.

CIN lineup · K rate vs LHPExp PA
1Blake Dunn (R)14.1%2.0 PA
2Elly De La Cruz (R)12.0%2.0 PA
3Dane Myers (R)11.9%2.0 PA
4Sal Stewart (R)11.7%2.0 PA
5Spencer Steer (R)13.9%2.0 PA
6Eugenio Suárez (R)11.0%2.0 PA
7Noelvi Marte (R)13.1%2.0 PA
8Tyler Stephenson (R)11.7%2.0 PA
9Matt McLain (R)13.5%1.8 PA

CIN Rhett Lowder · RHP

Pitcher earned runs Rate10.8% Runs / BF

vs LHB11.4%
vs RHB10.1%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)13.8%

How often he gives up earned runs to the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload21.1 BF

Expected batters faced21.1
From recent starts8

How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.

Projection2.9 ER

Expected earned runs — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.

Earned Runs Line · O/U 2.5we lean Over

BookOverUnder
MGMBetMGM-155+115
DKDraftKings-146+110
FANFanatics-140+100

We project 2.9 ER vs the 2.5 line — leaning Over. Display only — not betting advice.

MIL lineup · K rate vs RHPExp PA
1Christian Yelich (L)16.4%3.0 PA
2Jackson Chourio (R)13.2%3.0 PA
3Brice Turang (L)15.3%3.0 PA
4William Contreras (R)12.7%2.1 PA
5Jake Bauers (L)15.3%2.0 PA
6Garrett Mitchell (L)15.2%2.0 PA
7Sal Frelick (L)11.3%2.0 PA
8Cooper Pratt (R)11.7%2.0 PA
9David Hamilton (L)12.7%2.0 PA